In most respects, these are pretty good days to be in value-oriented retail. Companies like Family Dollar (NYSE:FDO), Ross Stores (Nasdaq:ROSS) and TJX (NYSE:TJX) all are seeing their stocks trade near 52-week highs, and analyst estimates have been an upward match.
That stands in pretty sharp comparison to the shoe sector, where leading value-oriented companies like
Brown Shoe (NYSE:
BWS) and
Collective Brands (NYSE:
PSS) (owner of Payless and Stride Rite) are struggling. With Collective Brands reporting a very disappointing first quarter, it is worth asking whether there is something fundamentally different about the shoe business, or whether the absence of institutional demand for these stocks makes for a buying opportunity for value investors.
A Tough Quarter for Several Reasons
Collective Brands announced that revenue for the fiscal first quarter fell a bit more than 1%, which is not so bad until it's considered that the company missed the
average estimate by about 5%. Although the company's very profitable PLG Wholesale business saw revenue rise almost 23%, overall company results were hurt by a 9% drop in domestic Payless revenue (which was fueled by a greater than 8% drop in
same-store comps). International sales were also weak, as poor performance in Canada pushed the Payless international revenue down by almost 3%.
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