Showing posts with label DowDupont. Show all posts
Showing posts with label DowDupont. Show all posts

Monday, October 15, 2018

A Rough Summer Has Knocked Calyxt Down

So far, not so good for my late June high-risk/high-reward call on Calyxt (CLXT). The “high risk” part has certainly come through promptly, but shareholders have seen the shares sell off about 25% after a summer that certainly offered more bad news than good, highlighted by the surprising resignation of the CEO in late August only a couple of months after the equally-surprising resignation of the CFO, and a decision in Europe that puts the acceptance and development of gene-edited crops at risk.

Assessing these developments is not easy. Both executives may have had disagreements with the board of directors and/or Cellectis (CLLS), which still controls the company, and those disagreements may have included the unusual business model Calyxt is pursuing with its high-oleic soybeans and other consumer-oriented products. It is also possible that they saw fundamental issues with the technology and/or its path to commercial acceptance. Unfortunately there’s really no way to know at this point, and the one remedy I do have is to increase my discount rate to account for greater risk and uncertainty.

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A Rough Summer Has Knocked Calyxt Down

Saturday, May 26, 2018

S&W Seed Following A Better Plan, But Execution Remains A Key Unknown

Small-cap seed company S&W Seed Company (SANW) has certainly weathered some ups and downs in recent years, not all of which were or are in management's control. While the company has taken cogent steps to build out and improve its alfalfa business, policies in key markets like Saudi Arabia have undermined the company's progress. At the same time, though, the company has suffered from a sometimes-incoherent and scattered set of corporate priorities.

New management has been clear about what it wants to do, and most of the new plan sounds good to me. It's going to take time for these plans to bear fruit, though, and the company doesn't have much of a safety net left to withstand significant disappointments or delays. While there's certainly upside from here if management can get the business stabilized and growing again, the risks are high, and the company's ability to execute under new management is still unproven.

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S&W Seed Following A Better Plan, But Execution Remains A Key Unknown