Seeking Alpha: Geely Automobile Leveraging A New Approach

I've see-sawed on Geely Automobile (OTCPK:GELYY) in the past and that has worked out pretty well given the up-and-down performance of the company over the last five years. I was pretty positive on Geely back in August, though, and the shares have risen more than 20% since that article, even with a 20% decline from April's highs. I believe the gains in Geely have come on the recognition that the company's efforts to restructure its dealership network and model line-up are solid moves that can produce real benefits down the line.

I believe the share weakness in Geely since April has had a lot to do with weaker overall industry sales performance and the subsequent decision by many industry participants to cut prices. I can't rule out the risk that this slowdown drags Geely's yoy unit sales down, but I think Geely's approach to take a Hyundai and/or Xiaomi-like approach to the Chinese auto market is a good one that can produce better results for years to come. Geely's ADRs should trade closer to $12 in the near term, with further upside potential if the company can truly leverage synergies with Volvo.

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Geely Automobile Leveraging A New Approach

Seeking Alpha: Geely Automobile Back On The Right Road?

I wasn't too keen on Geely Automobile (OTCPK:GELYY) back in December of 2013, and the performance since then hasn't exactly made me regret that call. A stale lineup and poor dealership channel have both contributed to an ugly trend in unit volume, sending the shares down 30% at their worst point since December and down 17% even after a recent rally.

If management were simply fiddling while the business burned, I'd scratch it off my list and pay no further attention to it. Management is addressing many of the company's problems, though, and I'm cautiously optimistic on what these changes could mean for the future. I realize that forecasts of high single-digit revenue growth and low double-digit FCF growth don't exactly echo "cautious optimism", but I think the company's closer collaboration with Volvo, rebranding strategy, and dealership improvements can lead to meaningful improvements. "Can" and "could" are still the operative words here, though, and this is an idea only really suitable for the risk-tolerant investors in the crowd.

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Geely Automobile Back On The Right Road?

Seeking Alpha: Can Micro-Transport Be A Major Driver For Kandi Technologies?

There's a lot of weirdness around Kandi Technologies (KNDI). These shares have risen more than 50% in the past year and about 340% over the past two years on the sizzle of the company's opportunity and potential in all-electric vehicles (or EVs) within China, even though it has never been particularly successful at selling electric ATVs, go-karts, or other products, let alone passenger autos. Like many Chinese companies, it employs a Byzantine holding company structure, employs a largely unknown auditor, and used a reverse merger to list its shares in the U.S..

On the other hand, this company boasts a joint venture with Geely (OTCPK:GELYY), one of the largest domestic auto manufacturers in China. Together, these companies are addressing a "micro-transport" market in China that could support hundreds of thousands of vehicles without needing to compete directly with the likes of Tesla (TSLA), BYD (OTCPK:BYDDY), BMW (OTCPK:BAMXY), and a host of joint ventures between Chinese domestics and larger global car companies. While working Geely doesn't guarantee the quality of Kandi, it does offer some assurance that there are real products and a real market here. While I think the fair value is far beyond murky and very difficult to quantify at this point, as "opportunity stocks" go, Kandi at least has a good story to tell.

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Can Micro-Transport Be A Major Driver For Kandi Technologies?