For better or worse, short-term stock price performance
is mostly a game of expectations, and expectations going into this
reporting cycle were for semiconductor companies to lower guidance for
the first quarter. While Xilinx (XLNX) was a notable exception, that expectation has held true conceptually, with Texas Instruments (TXN), Intel (INTC), and STMicroelectronics (STM) all guiding down, but the magnitude of the revisions seem to be less severe than feared.
Specific
to STM, I’m still bullish on these shares even after a double-digit pop
post-earnings. The market is still not sold that the company’s cost
structure and operating philosophy have really changed such that a
downturn won’t hammer margins, and I believe that there is still room
for the company to surprise. Although I’m a little concerned that
management’s full-year targets for 2019 are aggressive and that the
sector could see a second cut to numbers in three months, I like these
shares below the high teens.
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Guidance From STMicroelectronics Suggests A Stronger Second Half Than Many Expected
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