I continue to prefer Steel Dynamics (STLD) among U.S. steelmakers, but Nucor (NUE)
has been the better performer over the past year (they're tied over the
last two years, and STLD wins the five-yr comp), and the shares are up
about 15% since the Christmas Eve 52-week low on renewed enthusiasm over
better steel demand and pricing in 2019. I do like Nucor's
comparatively stronger leverage to long products and plate (where I
think prices will be noticeably better in 2019 relative to hot-rolled
coil), but I think investors will need to wait until 2021/22 to see
year-over-year growth in EBITDA again (on a full-year basis), and I see
more that can go wrong with pricing and demand at this point than what
can go right.
Read more here:
Nucor Has The Right Mix, But Will The Market Cooperate?
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