Finding undervalued stocks is one thing, but finding
catalysts and drivers that will close that valuation gap is often an
overlooked part of the investment process (and a part of the whole
“value trap” phenomenon). When I look at Huntington Bancshares (HBAN),
I see a basically well-run bank trading more than 10% below fair value.
I also see a bank that is forgoing some near-term growth to improve its
full-cycle performance.
What I don’t see, though,
is what will change investors’ minds about these shares in the near
future. Worries about the health of shorter-cycle industrial markets are
relevant to this Ohio/Michigan-centric back, as are the ongoing tariff
issues with China and Mexico and the uncertain prospects for the USMCA.
On top of that, while I think Huntington would/will do better in a
banking downturn, the near-term outlook for pre-provision profit growth
is pretty average-looking.
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Huntington Bancshares Undervalued, But Not Looking Catalyst-Rich
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