I’ve commented many times over the years that successful
turnarounds, particularly when the company has some meaningful moats,
can significantly exceed expectations. That’s certainly been playing out
at Materion (MTRN),
as the company’s restructuring efforts – including a more lucrative
product mix and a shift toward a more variable cost structure – have
paid off better than the Street or I expected. With that, the shares are
up more than 20% over the past year – significantly outperforming
kinda/sorta comps like Allegheny (ATI), Carpenter (CRS), and Johnson Matthey (OTCPK:JMPLY).
I’m
reluctant to just assume that Materion can’t find still more ways to
improve itself, but I’m already valuing the company on the assumptions
that 2019 EBITDA margin will reach a new peak (and continue to improve)
and that FCF margin will reach a new peak in 2020 (and continue to
improve). On the other hand, these improvements have come despite weak
trends in consumer electronics and auto electronics, and improved
revenue growth in a couple of years could unlock even more leverage.
Read the full article here:
Materion Rewarded For Exceeding Even Bullish Margin-Improvement Assumptions
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