The line between “patient, long-term investor” and
“wrong” can be fuzzy in the best of times and is sometimes only visible
in hindsight. That’s something to keep in mind with Synovus (SNV),
as these shares are down about 30% from the time of the announcement of
the FCB deal and have just not worked as a long call. Although I had said back at the time of the deal
that, “Synovus is likely to be sitting in the doghouse for a while
now”, and “the overhang from the deal announcement will likely last a
while”, this is rather more than I had in mind.
I do
believe there is a good bank here with better-than-average growth
potential, but management’s decision to increase spending in 2020 to
take advantage of disruptions and opportunities in its operating
footprint (particularly, but not exclusively, the Truist Financial Corp. (TFC)
deal) is not what investors wanted to hear. I believe the shares are
undervalued on a mid-single digit long-term core growth rate, but this
is a stock that really needs some beat-and-raise quarters to boost
sentiment.
Continue here for more:
Synovus's Performance Has Not Been Good Enough To Shift Sentiment
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