At this point, chip stock bulls really need to hope that
there’s not so much as a stumble for the growth trajectories for new
cars, 5G, new smartphones, and industrial automation, as the stocks by
and large already reflect a very robust rebound scenario that leaves
little room for disappointment. Texas Instruments (TXN),
which does admittedly lean toward the conservatism with its commentary,
didn’t exactly fan the flames, acknowledging with fourth-quarter
earnings that its markets have largely “stabilized”, while offering
guidance that was slightly above expectations for the first quarter of
2020.
I’ve written before that I believe a number of quality chip companies, including Infineon (OTCQX:IFNNY), Microchip (MCHP), Maxim (MXIM), ON (ON), and STMicroelectronics (STM)
have run up too aggressively in anticipation of this recovery, leaving
upside tied to further acceleration in end-market demand – an
acceleration that may be at risk giving what companies are saying about
their 2020 outlooks. In any case, specific to TI, I can’t say that I see
much value here, and if I had to own an overpriced chip stock, I
suppose TI’s well above-average quality would be an argument in its
favor.
Read more here:
Texas Instruments Sees Stabilization, But The Street Expects So Much More
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