Monday, May 31, 2021

Advanced Energy Industries: Temporary Supply Challenges Don't Hurt The Long-Term Case

 

Severe supply constraints for semiconductors and other electronic components claimed another victim with Advanced Energy Industries’ (AEIS) second quarter guidance, sending the shares down 10% in response. Although the shares have recovered some lost ground, they’re still down a bit from the time of my last update and have underperformed peers like MKS Instruments (MKSI), Comet Holdings (COTN.SW), and Delta Electronics (OTC:DLEGF).

On a core level, I’m not too troubled by these supply-related disruptions to the business. The Semiconductor business remains in very strong shape with respect to market share, backlog, and capacity growth, and I expect improving demand in the Industrial segment through 2021. I still expect AEIS to generate long-term revenue growth of around 5% to 6% and FCF growth in the high single-digits, and at today’s price those growth rates support a double-digit annualized prospective rate of return.

 

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Advanced Energy Industries: Temporary Supply Challenges Don't Hurt The Long-Term Case

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