With banks trading at uncommonly low valuations - Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg calculated recent sector valuation as being in the 15th percentile of the past 35 years - you can pretty much throw a dart blindfolded and find a cheap bank. While it's true that sector performance determines a lot of individual stock performance (I've seen studies suggesting about 70%), I still believe quality eventually wins out, and I think TCF Financial (TCF) has more quality to it than the shares would seem to reflect.
The integration of the merger of equals between Chemical Financial (NASDAQ:CHFC) and TCF is off to a good start, and there are still meaningful synergies to look forward to, as management continues to target meaningful (mid-teens) savings relative to the pro forma starting point. Beyond that, though, I also see underappreciated potential to take share in its upper Midwest operating footprint, grow the commercial business through low-risk cross-selling, and remain active in M&A in the relatively near future.
Read more here:
In A Weak Banking Sector, Investors Taking A 'Wait And See' Approach With TCF Financial
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