The outbreak of Covid-19 has dramatically shifted the
outlooks and operating environments for many businesses, and in the case
of Carpenter Technology (CRS),
it's going to seriously challenge the company's recent self-improvement
efforts, efforts that had seen notable product mix and margin
improvements in the Specialty Alloys business. With aerospace making up
about 60% of Carpenter's revenue mix and the likelihood of a multiyear
recovery path given the hit to the airline sector, Carpenter is going to
have its work cut out for it.
I still see
opportunities for Carpenter to drive better results through
self-improvement, but the next few quarters will give investors good
insight into how much the company's efforts over the past few years
matter in real-world downturns. Past downturns have pushed operating
margins down to the low single digits, and the company will need to do
better than that to support an "it's different this time" argument for a
stock and a sector where it's long been difficult to earn sustained
market-beating returns.
Follow this link for the full article:
An Abrupt Shift In Business Will Challenge Carpenter's Self-Improvement Story
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