With global economies breaking under the strain of
Covid-19, consumer staples like soda, beer, and the like should hold up
better on balance. Add in currency risk and worries about the health of
the Mexican economy (and the Mexican consumer) and corporate capital
allocation decisions, though, and you have a decidedly less supportive
environment for FEMSA (FMX) these days.
I
think I can see where FEMSA management is going with its recent capital
allocation decisions, but the fact remains that these are significant
allocations of capital outside of what FEMSA does best, with
little-to-no explanation from management as to why they haven’t decided
to expand the OXXO concept more aggressively. What’s more, beer and
sodas that aren’t drunk today don’t benefit from “catch up” spending
later. With that, my fair value for FEMSA is lower now, though I do
think the market has over-corrected here to a point where it is
undervalued on the core operations.
Follow this link to the full article:
FEMSA Has Value Here, But Corporate Strategy Is Now Controversial
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