There are ample concerns about both the construction and mining end-markets now, and that can be seen in Komatsu's (OTCPK:KMTUY) 20% year-to-date share price decline, a decline more or less on par with Caterpillar (CAT) but worse than Epiroc's (OTCPK:EPOKY)
performance over the period. Although construction and mining activity
has held up reasonably well, major customers are far more cautious on
capital spending now, and that is likely to push Komatsu's revenue,
margins, and cash flows down in fiscal 2021.
The
main attraction I see in Komatsu now is that it's trading at what has
historically been an attractive multiple. While I do have my concerns
with the company's market share in the Chinese excavator market and its
leverage to coal mining, I think those issues are more than reflected in
the share price. I won't claim this is the best equipment company, but I
do think the risk-adjusted return potential is good enough to merit at
least a spot on a watchlist.
Read more here:
COVID-19 Brings Komatsu Back To More Reasonable Levels
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