It wasn’t that long ago that I last wrote on Inphi (IPHI), early April in fact,
and the shares are up almost another 30% since then. The company did in
fact produce the beat-and-raise quarter I expected, but the degree of
the “raise” was startling even to me, as the company continues to
benefit from physical layer upgrades in the data center.
How
do you value Inphi? As is often the case, exceptional growth companies
like Inphi don’t really work from a DCF standpoint and they break the
models for the sort of multiples a “normal” company should get. You can
turn to alternative approaches like peer multiples, but it’s tough to
construct a peer group for Inphi – Nvidia (NVDA) and Silicon Labs (SLAB) would arguably belong in that group, but it’s a fairly short list.
You
can also look at what the market has been willing to pay for similar
growth in the past, or some combination of those approaches. It’s that
latter method that I’m gravitating toward now; I won’t defend it as a
particularly rigorous approach, but based upon what the market is
willing to pay for the growth at companies like Nvidia and Silicon Labs
now, and what it has paid for comparable growth in the past, you can get
a fair value range of around $115 to $140 today.
Read more here:
Leadership In Data Center Interconnect Continuing To Propel Inphi
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