I wasn’t overly fond of Cemex (CX) earlier this year,
as I was worried about the demand outlook in both Mexico and the United
States, and management’s inability to generate real value for
shareholders despite following a generally sound plan. The shares have
fallen another 20% since then, and the outlooks for both Mexico and the
U.S. are heading in the wrong direction. Additional asset sales do
underline management’s interest in improving the company by selling
under-earning assets, but they don’t really create all that much
near-term value.
I’ve reduced my modeling estimates
yet again, and the shares still seem quite cheap. At this point I do
find myself asking “how much worse can it really get?”, but that’s a
question that the market has a way of answering along the lines of “this
much worse!” Mediocre near-term growth prospects are likely to weigh on
results, but I can definitely understand the appeal to patient
value-hounds.
Read more here:
Cemex Subjecting Investors To Mexican Cement Torture
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