Endurance Specialty Holdings (ENH)
hasn't quite settled into its new normal yet, which makes
quarter-to-quarter forecasting quite a bit more challenging. Expenses
are still running high, but premium growth in the insurance business
should lead to better leverage down the road. Still, there is a lot of
uncertainty about the long-term profitability of business being written
today in the insurance sector, and Endurance's pursuit of Aspen (AHL)
adds yet another layer of uncertainty. I seem to be a little more
bullish than most sell-side analysts on Endurance's long-term
profitability, as an assumption of a five-year ROE of 10% leads to a
fair value estimate above $58.
Read the full article here:
Endurance Specialty Still Undergoing Substantial Shifts
Thursday, May 8, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Advanced Energy Industries Steps Back On Softer Demand
Advanced Energy Industries' (AEIS) first-quarter results reflect at least some of the reasons why
I wasn't too eager to overpay for the stock back in early February.
While AEIS has good technology and products for both the semiconductor
equipment and solar industries, these are volatile businesses, and
demand/orders for semi equipment in particular has proven to be quite
volatile this year. The company has a lot of work left to do in bringing
the solar inverter business to profitability, but the nearly 50%
haircut since late February does have this stock at a more interesting
level.
Please follow this link for more:
Advanced Energy Industries Steps Back On Softer Demand
Please follow this link for more:
Advanced Energy Industries Steps Back On Softer Demand
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
The Motley Fool: Why 3M Co's Performance Is Better Than It Looks
3M (NYSE: MMM )
carries a reputation for playing it a little too conservative and not
offering the best performance early in a recovery. However, 3M's current
management team seems to be moving more aggressively to reposition the
company for more dynamic full-cycle results. Although it's not really a
quarter-to-quarter type of company, 3M's underlying performance was
better than the quarterly report results (and Wall Street's reaction to
them) might otherwise suggest.
Read more here:
Why 3M Co's Performance Is Better Than It Looks
Read more here:
Why 3M Co's Performance Is Better Than It Looks
Labels:
3M,
Danaher,
Illinois Tool Works,
The Motley Fool
Seeking Alpha: Commercial Vehicle Still Improving, But Not As Cheap
With Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) shares up about 25% year-to-date and 18% since my last article,
I can't really complain as a shareholder. In that time period, CVGI's
performance has easily outdistanced better commercial vehicle components
companies like Cummins (CMI), BorgWarner (BWA), Allison (ALSN), and Grammer (OTC:GMEGF).
Some of this can be tied to the strong underlying growth in North
American Class 8 orders, but I believe some of it is likely due to the
recognition that Commercial Vehicle's new management team has a new,
better vision for how to operate this company.
The question with a turnaround is when to take your winnings and move on. I have to admit that I'm close to that point with Commercial Vehicle. I do believe that the company has the potential to gain share outside of its core North American truck market and even relatively small changes in operating margin, EBITDA margin, or FCF margin assumptions lead to meaningful changes in estimated fair value. The shares still look poised for low double-digit returns, but investors shouldn't forget that this is not an inherently high-margin business and they shouldn't overstay their welcome reaching for that next dollar.
Please read the full article here:
Commercial Vehicle Still Improving, But Not As Cheap
The question with a turnaround is when to take your winnings and move on. I have to admit that I'm close to that point with Commercial Vehicle. I do believe that the company has the potential to gain share outside of its core North American truck market and even relatively small changes in operating margin, EBITDA margin, or FCF margin assumptions lead to meaningful changes in estimated fair value. The shares still look poised for low double-digit returns, but investors shouldn't forget that this is not an inherently high-margin business and they shouldn't overstay their welcome reaching for that next dollar.
Please read the full article here:
Commercial Vehicle Still Improving, But Not As Cheap
Labels:
Commercial Vehicle Group,
Cummins,
Grammer AG,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Good Progress At Argo Group
Argo Group (AGII)
has a good platform of excess & surplus and commercial specialty
insurance, and the company's premium growth, loss ratios, and reserve
developments have been typically been as good or better than peers over
the last five years. The sticking point has been the company's
uncommonly high expense ratio and its impact on reported returns. These
shares have headed about 10% higher since I last wrote
on them, and Monday's earnings suggest that optimism about better
expense control and higher reported income is the correct position for
now.
Please continue here:
Good Progress At Argo Group
Please continue here:
Good Progress At Argo Group
Labels:
ACE Limited,
Argo Group,
Seeking Alpha,
W. R. Berkley
Seeking Alpha: AXA's Progress Not Fully Reflected In The Shares
French multinational, multiline insurance company AXA SA (OTCQX:AXAHY)
was badly dented during the credit crisis, particularly as the cost of
hedging its large variable annuity exposure got so expensive. Not unlike
MetLife (MET),
AXA has pursued a plan designed to increase the cash flow generated per
dollar of revenue and underlying profit while shifting business toward
more protection-oriented and less capital-intensive products. While AXA
still has a lot of leverage, the shares appear undervalued on a
long-term basis.
Read the full article here:
AXA's Progress Not Fully Reflected In The Shares
Read the full article here:
AXA's Progress Not Fully Reflected In The Shares
Labels:
Allianz,
AXA SA,
Generali,
MetLife,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Can New Markets And New Machines Assemble More Value At KUKA?
Robots still have a bit of the "gee whiz" about them, even if they've
been on site in automobile plants for almost 50 years now. KUKA AG (OTC:KUKAY)
has built itself into the world's third-leading robot company, but
still generates about half of its robot sales (and three-quarters of
overall sales) from the automotive industry. KUKA could be undervalued
here, but a large part of the company's incremental value rests on
gaining share outside its core automotive end market and boosting its
margins.
Read more here:
Can New Markets And New Machines Assemble More Value At KUKA?
Read more here:
Can New Markets And New Machines Assemble More Value At KUKA?
Seeking Alpha: Should Basilea Pharmaceutica Be Trading At Twice This Price?
The biotech sector has fallen on hard times, with momentum investors
fleeing the space and those who remain taking a much more careful look
at just how much they are willing to pay for these speculative stocks.
Caught up in the mix is the very under-covered Basilea Pharmaceutica (OTC:BPMUF),
a small-cap Swiss biotech focused on antibiotics, antifugals, and
oncology drugs. While the company does not yet have a drug approved in
the U.S., key filings are close at hand for multiple drugs.
Investors should note that Basilea's U.S. ADRs are very illiquid. With less than 10 million shares outstanding, an average volume of about 110,000, and three analysts covering the company it is not as though the Swiss-listed shares (SIX:BSLN) are rolling in ample liquidity either. This makes an already risky situation a little more challenging for U.S. investors.
Follow this link for more:
Should Basilea Pharmaceutica Be Trading At Twice This Price?
Investors should note that Basilea's U.S. ADRs are very illiquid. With less than 10 million shares outstanding, an average volume of about 110,000, and three analysts covering the company it is not as though the Swiss-listed shares (SIX:BSLN) are rolling in ample liquidity either. This makes an already risky situation a little more challenging for U.S. investors.
Follow this link for more:
Should Basilea Pharmaceutica Be Trading At Twice This Price?
Labels:
Basilea Pharmaceutica,
Cubist,
Seeking Alpha
Tuesday, May 6, 2014
The Motley Fool: Does Stryker's Skid Offer a Buying Opportunity?
Long-term investing is generally the way to go, but that
does not mean that investors shouldn't take advantage of short-term
moves that work in their favor. Stryker (NYSE: SYK )
remains a very well-run company in the med-tech space, with good
exposure to orthopedics, surgical instruments, and neurology, but a
recent slide in the stock appears to have opened up a little window of
opportunity in the shares.
Read more here:
Does Stryker's Skid Offer a Buying Opportunity?
Read more here:
Does Stryker's Skid Offer a Buying Opportunity?
Labels:
Biomet,
Johnson Johnson,
Smith and Nephew,
Stryker,
The Motley Fool,
Zimmer
Seeking Alpha: Despite Challenging Conditions, Investors Buying Anglo American's Self-Improvement Potential
These are not particularly easy times for Anglo American plc (OTCPK:AAUKY).
Copper prices have been holding up, but iron ore has been weak, met
coal remains weak, and the company's platinum business has been hit by a
major strike. Even so, Anglo's share price is within 10% of its 52-week
high due in part to optimism regarding the long-term potential of the
company's restructuring efforts. Anglo American shares don't look too
expensive today, but investors do need to appreciate the elevated
operating risk relative to names like Rio Tinto (RIO), BHP Billiton (BHP), and Glencore Xstrata (OTCPK:GLNCY).
Follow this link to read more:
Despite Challenging Conditions, Investors Buying Anglo American's Self-Improvement Potential
Follow this link to read more:
Despite Challenging Conditions, Investors Buying Anglo American's Self-Improvement Potential
Labels:
Anglo American,
BHP Billiton,
Glencore Xstrata,
Rio Tinto,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Alliance Grain Traders Still Pulsing With Opportunity
Alliance Grain Traders (OTCPK:AGXXF) (AGT.TO) has done alright since I last discussed the company, with the shares up about 15% over a period where the S&P 500 rose about half that amount and Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
rose about 6%. In that time, Alliance Grain Traders has faced some
challenges related to rail logistics, but has also continued to make
progress on its food ingredient and retail strategies. While this
business is likely to remain a low-margin operation with meaningful
year-to-year volatility, the shares don't seem to reflect the potential
of the ingredients business.
Please click here for more:
Alliance Grain Traders Still Pulsing With Opportunity
Please click here for more:
Alliance Grain Traders Still Pulsing With Opportunity
Seeking Alpha: Life In The Slow Layne
Life hasn't been easy for companies that make their living off of municipal infrastructure spending, but Layne Christensen (LAYN) has still managed to "out-struggle" the likes of Mueller Water Products (MWA) and Aegion (AEGN)
when it comes to overall performance. Granted Aegion and Mueller are of
limited comparative value given the differences in business mix
(particularly Mueller), but the point stands that Layne is struggling to
find its way to profitability in the current environment. Management
continues to tell an optimistic story of future success, but it takes
pretty bullish expectations about the future to make these shares look
appealing today.
Read more here:
Life In The Slow Layne
Read more here:
Life In The Slow Layne
Labels:
Aegion,
Boart Longyear,
Layne Christensen,
Mueller Water,
Seeking Alpha
Monday, May 5, 2014
The Motley Fool: After Missing Earnings, Is Pfizer a Good Value?
When Pfizer (NYSE: PFE )
last reported earnings I was pretty ambivalent about the stock, and
since that late January piece the shares have lagged both the broader
market and pharma industry peers like Merck, Lilly, and Novartis.
It's not as though the company has been sitting still either, what with
positive clinical updates on its Prevnar vaccine and palbociclib
oncology drug. Dwarfing all of that is the potential megadeal for
British pharma company AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN )
. Pfizer needs to guard against overpaying in this potential deal, but
these shares are getting closer to an interesting entry point for
long-term investors.
Read the full article here:
After Missing Earnings, Is Pfizer a Good Value?
Read the full article here:
After Missing Earnings, Is Pfizer a Good Value?
Labels:
AstraZeneca,
Lilly,
Novartis,
Pfizer,
The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool: Is Becton, Dickinson and Company a Buy?
The general theme of med-tech earnings through this cycle
seems to be that the market has gotten a little bit ahead of many of
the companies, leading to earnings reports that the sell-side
characterizes as "slightly disappointing." Among those is Becton Dickinson (NYSE: BDX )
, a generally reliable company that is structured more for long-term
performance than short-term growth. Analysts seem focused on the weak
results in diagnostics, but the overall picture hasn't really changed
all that much.
Follow this link for the full article:
Is Becton, Dickinson and Company a Buy?
Follow this link for the full article:
Is Becton, Dickinson and Company a Buy?
Labels:
Abbott Labs,
Becton Dickinson,
Danaher,
Hologic,
The Motley Fool
Seeking Alpha: Uncertainties Weighing A Little Too Heavily On MetLife
For a company that has been either a group leader or solidly above peer averages for quite some time, MetLife (MET)
doesn't get a lot of benefit of the doubt these days. Some of that can
be tied to the weak rate environment as well as uncertainties as to how
large insurance companies like MetLife will be regulated in the future. I
believe investors are too worried about the negatives on this name and
are underrating the growth potential of the company's overseas
businesses and the value of its strategic shift toward more
protection-oriented and less capital-intensive business. These shares
could be as much as 25% undervalued today, making it a very worthwhile
name to consider at these levels.
Continue here for the full article:
Uncertainties Weighing A Little Too Heavily On MetLife
Continue here for the full article:
Uncertainties Weighing A Little Too Heavily On MetLife
Labels:
AIG,
MetLife,
Prudential,
Prudential PLC,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: A Slower Recovery Threatens Manitowoc's Ambitious Multiple
Investors have been waiting for the boom/bust crane cycle to fuel another upswing in Manitowoc's (MTW)
results, but the actual recovery in construction and infrastructure
activity has proven slower and less stable than hoped. Management
remains confident that the outlook for 2014 hasn't changed all that
much, but investors clearly voted with their feet as the weak first
quarter results sent the shares down 10% on Friday. Even after the
decline, Manitowoc isn't all that cheap but it does remain a leveraged
play on that recovery in construction and construction equipment
spending.
Follow this link for more:
A Slower Recovery Threatens Manitowoc's Ambitious Multiple
Follow this link for more:
A Slower Recovery Threatens Manitowoc's Ambitious Multiple
Labels:
Illinois Tool Works,
Manitowoc,
Middleby,
Seeking Alpha,
Terex
Seeking Alpha: ON Semiconductor Coming Along
Up around 22% since I wrote about it as a Top Idea, I can't complain too much about how the ON Semiconductor (ONNN)
has developed. The company's SANYO business still isn't up to snuff,
but the company's leverage to industrial and auto markets puts it in the
right place at the right time. Rising inventories are a potential area
of concern, but ON still has more margin upside than the average analog
chip company today.
Read more here:
ON Semiconductor Coming Along
Read more here:
ON Semiconductor Coming Along
Seeking Alpha: BorgWarner Among The Best-In-Class In Auto Parts
Auto parts supplier BorgWarner (BWA)
has a lot working in its favor. A share leader in turbochargers,
BorgWarner has a portfolio of products in turbocharging, timing,
ignition, emission, transmission, and torque transfer that offer OEMs
the opportunity to improve fuel efficiency and lower emissions. The
company also has an uncommonly good record of profitability and cash
flow generation within the auto space, with room to grow from geographic
and end-market expansion.
What BorgWarner doesn't have so much of is clear undervaluation. I'm not betting against BorgWarner's long-term success as a company, but today's valuation already seems to factor in pretty considerable growth and margin improvement from here. I have a hard time paying a double-digit forward multiple to EBITDA for an auto parts company (excluding turnarounds/special situations), and I'm tempted to wait for one of the occasional sizable pullbacks in the shares.
Follow this link for more:
BorgWarner Among The Best-In-Class In Auto Parts
What BorgWarner doesn't have so much of is clear undervaluation. I'm not betting against BorgWarner's long-term success as a company, but today's valuation already seems to factor in pretty considerable growth and margin improvement from here. I have a hard time paying a double-digit forward multiple to EBITDA for an auto parts company (excluding turnarounds/special situations), and I'm tempted to wait for one of the occasional sizable pullbacks in the shares.
Follow this link for more:
BorgWarner Among The Best-In-Class In Auto Parts
Labels:
BorgWarner,
Cummins,
Honeywell,
Seeking Alpha
Sunday, May 4, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Portfolio Recovery Grinding Through A Lull
Debt collector Portfolio Recovery Associates (PRAA)
had to deal with multiple headwinds in the first quarter of 2014. Many
of these were "self-inflicted" with the goal of greater long-term growth
and profitability, but it is nevertheless worth remembering that this
quarter's results aren't really reflective of the long-term story.
Conditions remain challenging in the U.S. from a supply standpoint, but
the company continues to do well with its collection efforts, and the
acquisition of Aktiv holds the potential to be a transformative deal.
Earnings momentum may be a little weaker this year, but there still
appears to be solid long-term value in the shares.
Click here to read the full article:
Portfolio Recovery Grinding Through A Lull
Click here to read the full article:
Portfolio Recovery Grinding Through A Lull
Seeking Alpha: Wright Medical Continuing To Gain Share In A Growth Market
While Wright Medical (WMGI)
has gotten caught up in the same sell-off that has hit many other
small-cap, med-tech stocks, the underlying performance of the business
continues to improve. Wright Medical is outgrowing the lower extremities
market, and still has balance sheet flexibility to add products or
distribution in areas like extremity devices/tools and biologics. Even
with the decline in the share price, this is not a cheap name, but it
does offer above-average scarcity value in an increasingly acquisitive
med-tech market.
Follow this link for more:
Wright Medical Continuing To Gain Share In A Growth Market
Follow this link for more:
Wright Medical Continuing To Gain Share In A Growth Market
Labels:
SBI,
Seeking Alpha,
Tornier,
Wright Medical Group,
Zimmer
Seeking Alpha: FEMSA Muddling Through Better Than Most
This has been a pretty miserable stretch for most Mexican retailers, as
sluggish employment trends, new taxes, and lower remittances have all
dinged confidence and spending. To the extent that having the best house
in a rough neighborhood should matter, FEMSA (FMX)
ought to be getting a little more respect in the market. Management was
cautious and conservative on the call (as they often are), but this
company continues to run some of the best-positioned businesses in
Mexico, and is worth a closer look as the Mexican economy starts to turn
up.
Read more here:
FEMSA Muddling Through Better Than Most
Read more here:
FEMSA Muddling Through Better Than Most
Labels:
FEMSA,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: For Accuray, Lumpy Progress Is Still Progress
What Accuray (ARAY)
is attempting to do is not easy, and that at least partially explains
why the company continues to see lumpy progress on its path toward
becoming a fully-fledged growth med-tech. It's hard enough to sell
hospital capital equipment with a list price above $4 million, and
harder still when competing against such well-established rivals as Varian (VAR) and Elekta (OTCPK:EKTAY) (rivals that were able to essentially push Siemens out of the market).
Making matters worse, Accuray's stock has gotten caught up in the same capital flight that has led to other growth med-techs like Novadaq, Heartware, and Insulet seeing share price declines between 15% and 25% over the past three months. The next 18 months are likely to continue to show quarter-to-quarter volatility in certain areas (like orders), but the shares remain too cheap so long as revenue and margins continue to develop favorably.
Read more here:
For Accuray, Lumpy Progress Is Still Progress
Making matters worse, Accuray's stock has gotten caught up in the same capital flight that has led to other growth med-techs like Novadaq, Heartware, and Insulet seeing share price declines between 15% and 25% over the past three months. The next 18 months are likely to continue to show quarter-to-quarter volatility in certain areas (like orders), but the shares remain too cheap so long as revenue and margins continue to develop favorably.
Read more here:
For Accuray, Lumpy Progress Is Still Progress
Thursday, May 1, 2014
The Motley Fool: Are Investors Putting Too Much Faith In Novo Nordisk?
It is hard to be too critical of Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO )
, as this Danish biopharma specialist practically mints money with its
leading franchises in diabetes, hemophilia, and growth hormones. The
company is facing more challenges than it has in the past, though, as
biosimiliars and new formulations threaten to change the insulin market
and reimbursement pressures become more visible. It is hard to call Novo
Nordisk underpriced, but a stock that looks poised to generating
market-matching returns behind the security of good economic moats does
have some appeal on a risk-adjusted basis.
Continue here:
Are Investors Putting Too Much Faith In Novo Nordisk?
Continue here:
Are Investors Putting Too Much Faith In Novo Nordisk?
Labels:
AstraZeneca,
Lilly,
MannKind,
Novo Nordisk,
Sanofi,
The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool: Are Boston Scientific Corporation's Little Misses Pilling Up?
Never estimate how often sell-side analysts or
institutional investors can shrug off disappointments from stocks they
want to like, but it looks like Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX )
is starting to chew up some of the goodwill on the Street. Boston
Scientific isn't performing poorly per se, but the company continues to
report slightly disappointing quarters that run counter to the idea that
it has truly turned a corner in its operating history. Boston
Scientific shares don't look expensive in a world lacking cheap med-tech
names, but it's worth remembering that the Street is already banking on
some pretty aggressive margin improvements and sales growth driven by
devices yet to even secure approval.
Read the full article here:
Are Boston Scientific Corporation's Little Misses Pilling Up?
Read the full article here:
Are Boston Scientific Corporation's Little Misses Pilling Up?
Labels:
Boston Scientific,
Medtronic,
St Jude Medical,
The Motley Fool
Seeking Alpha: ACE Still The Place For Reasonable Insurance Returns
Despite worries to the contrary, this earnings cycle has shown that
well-run P&C insurance companies are still finding opportunities to
grow their business and generate respectable returns. One of the large
commercial insurers, ACE Ltd (ACE)
has used its significant global footprint and its relatively low
property exposure to continue generating good premium growth and
underwriting profits. The P&C market is likely to soften further,
likely shrinking management's ability to generate such favorable reserve
developments down the line, but ACE shares still appear to offer some
upside at these levels.
Read more here:
ACE Still The Place For Reasonable Insurance Returns
Read more here:
ACE Still The Place For Reasonable Insurance Returns
Labels:
ACE Ltd,
AIG,
Seeking Alpha,
XL Group
Seeking Alpha: BRF Still In The Early Stages Of A Major Transformation
It is going to take time to realize, but the management of BRF SA (BRFS),
or "Brasil Foods", has a bold vision for this already-large food
company. The basic story at BRF has not changed all that much - the
company wants to transition from a commodity producer of animal proteins
to a diversified branded global food company - but management has
gotten more serious about product development, go-to-market strategies,
and global distribution. With a strong position in the growing Brazilian
market, as well as footholds in the Middle East and Asia, a potential
double-digit annual return makes this still a stock worth following
closely.
Please continue here:
BRF Still In The Early Stages Of A Major Transformation
Please continue here:
BRF Still In The Early Stages Of A Major Transformation
Labels:
BRF Brasil Foods,
JBS,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Silicon Labs Still Looking For A Transition To Drive New Growth
There's virtually no such thing as a perpetual winner in the
semiconductor space, as companies have to deal with cyclical end-markets
and evolving competition. Silicon Labs (SLAB)
is more proactive than most companies in "self-obsoleting" and
identifying new revenue growth opportunities, but the company's
transition toward the microcontroller-driven Internet of Things business
is still in progress. I'm not sold on the company's ability to carve
out a leading position in ultra low-power microcontrollers, but Silicon
Labs does have a shot of being one of the better growth stories over the
next 18 months, and forward expectations aren't too demanding.
Read more here:
Silicon Labs Still Looking For A Transition To Drive New Growth
Read more here:
Silicon Labs Still Looking For A Transition To Drive New Growth
Labels:
Atmel,
Freescale,
Seeking Alpha,
Silicon Labs
Seeking Alpha: Is AGCO Corp. Washed Out Enough To Own?
The rise and fall of the agriculture equipment cycle has gotten plenty
of attention, but I don't think it's all that widely appreciated that AGCO (AGCO) has done reasonably well over that cycle - beating Deere (DE) over the past two years and keeping pace over the last year (and beating CNH Industrial (CNHI)).
More recently, it seems that some on the sell side have favored AGCO as
a "better house in a bad neighborhood" play, but the company is still
facing challenges, with share loss in Brazil and weaker relative
margins, and AGCO's recent guidance was not particularly strong. The
valuation on these shares does look interesting, but investors need to
be aware that they're swimming against the tide right now.
Follow this link for more:
Is AGCO Corp. Washed Out Enough To Own?
Follow this link for more:
Is AGCO Corp. Washed Out Enough To Own?
Labels:
AGCO,
CNH Industrial,
Deere,
Kubota,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: NCR Corp. Still Undervalued, But Not Helping Its Cause
When I last wrote on NCR (NCR)
in December of 2013, I thought that NCR's acquisition of Digital
Insight was a good move, but that ongoing skepticism about the company's
pension status, FCF conversion, and ability to drive synergies across
the business would likely keep the stock from realizing its significant
upside over the next year.
With the shares basically flat in the five months since (and likely down once trading opens on Wednesday), I can't say I'm disappointed or surprised with the company's performance. The key to the NCR story remains its comprehensive hardware and software toolbox for financial institutions, its growth prospects within the retail and hospitality industries, and its conversion toward higher-margin software sales. NCR still gets the opposite of the benefit of the doubt from the Street and still offers attractive upside from these levels, though management has to start generating better FCF conversion and guidance to realize that upside.
Click the link for more:
NCR Corp. Still Undervalued, But Not Helping Its Cause
With the shares basically flat in the five months since (and likely down once trading opens on Wednesday), I can't say I'm disappointed or surprised with the company's performance. The key to the NCR story remains its comprehensive hardware and software toolbox for financial institutions, its growth prospects within the retail and hospitality industries, and its conversion toward higher-margin software sales. NCR still gets the opposite of the benefit of the doubt from the Street and still offers attractive upside from these levels, though management has to start generating better FCF conversion and guidance to realize that upside.
Click the link for more:
NCR Corp. Still Undervalued, But Not Helping Its Cause
Labels:
Diebold,
MICROS,
NCR,
Seeking Alpha
Wednesday, April 30, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Oshkosh Leveraged To A U.S. Construction Recovery
Not much has changed in the past quarter for Oshkosh (OSK) and that's not necessarily a bad thing. The company's aerial work platform business is recovering, but Oshkosh and Terex (TEX)
are still waiting on rental companies in North America to renew their
fleets. The potential for activist-prompted moves is still here, and it
increasingly sounds as though management is considering an acquisition.
Oshkosh still looks undervalued on the basis of construction and
commercial vehicle prospects, with defense offering a highly binary
outcome later next year, but delays in a U.S. construction recovery
remain as a meaningful risk factor.
Read more here:
Oshkosh Leveraged To A U.S. Construction Recovery
Read more here:
Oshkosh Leveraged To A U.S. Construction Recovery
Labels:
Manitou,
Oshkosh,
Seeking Alpha,
Terex
Seeking Alpha: Eaton Offering Middling Performance And Middling Value
Over the past year, a lot of the industrial conglomerates have moved together in a fairly tight group, Eaton (ETN)
included. Given the company's middle-of-the-road financial performance
and fairly average valuation, Eaton looks like an okay pick, but not
necessarily anything special. The company still has the potential to
drive additional savings and leverage from the Cooper deal and harness
improving conditions in vehicle and aerospace markets, but the company's
industrial business isn't offering the same prospects.
Please continue here:
Eaton Offering Middling Performance And Middling Value
Please continue here:
Eaton Offering Middling Performance And Middling Value
Labels:
ABB,
Eaton,
Honeywell,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Cummins Revving Up For The Next Truck Cycle
There's no doubting now that the operating environment for the North American Class 8 truck industry is getting better, and Cummins (CMI)
stands to be a major beneficiary. European and Chinese truck markets
are also looking stronger, helping to offset weakness in other areas
like Brazilian trucks and power generation. Cummins shares are already
up about 28% over the past year, and BorgWarner (BWA) and Dana (DAN) may offer a little extra relative performance, but I wouldn't rush to take profits just yet.
Read the full article at Seeking Alpha:
Cummins Revving Up For The Next Truck Cycle
Read the full article at Seeking Alpha:
Cummins Revving Up For The Next Truck Cycle
Labels:
BorgWarner,
Cummins,
Navistar,
PACCAR,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Orbital Sciences And Alliant Techsystems Look Like A True Win-Win
No company has ever announced a merger with "this is a
value-destroying transaction that we're launching because we want a
bigger fiefdom and don't really know how to build value." That said,
while investors are wise to be very skeptical about the synergies
companies promise with merger announcements, Tuesday's announced merger
between Orbital Sciences (ORB) and Alliant Techsystems (ATK) looks like a really good opportunity to build a stronger business.
As I had valued Orbital at around $31 per share in February, and I calculate a value of about $31 in Alliant's offer for the company, I can't say that this is an unfair deal for either side. What's more, for those shareholders willing to hold on and see how the synergies play out, this could be a case where 1+1 equals something meaningfully more than "2".
Please follow this link to continue:
Orbital Sciences And Alliant Techsystems Look Like A True Win-Win
As I had valued Orbital at around $31 per share in February, and I calculate a value of about $31 in Alliant's offer for the company, I can't say that this is an unfair deal for either side. What's more, for those shareholders willing to hold on and see how the synergies play out, this could be a case where 1+1 equals something meaningfully more than "2".
Please follow this link to continue:
Orbital Sciences And Alliant Techsystems Look Like A True Win-Win
Seeking Alpha: ABB Gets Fried By Its High Voltage Business
In one bad quarter, ABB (ABB)
appears to have undone a lot of the goodwill it had built up over the
past year. Investors have been nervous for some time about ABB's very
active board (which has led to two premature CEO departures), an
uncertain M&A strategy, and the company's business mix, as well as
its uncanny tendency to do well/poorly when others are doing the
opposite. While the stocks sizable decline in the wake of the first
quarter disappointment seems a little extreme, ABB is likely to find
itself back into the "show me" penalty box of Wall Street.
Read more here:
ABB Gets Fried By Its High Voltage Business
Read more here:
ABB Gets Fried By Its High Voltage Business
Labels:
ABB,
GE,
Rockwell Automation,
Schneider Electric,
Seeking Alpha,
Siemens
Seeking Alpha: Smart Deals And Smurfit Synergies Can Still Help Rock-Tenn
Rock-Tenn (RKT)
is a fairly well-respected company in the paper packaging industry, but
the company has struggled to generate appreciably better returns on
capital over time. I suspect that is at least part of the reason that
the company has lagged both International Paper (IP) and Packaging Corp (PKG) over the long term and other players like Graphic Packaging (GPK) and MeadWestvaco (MWV) more recently.
The company took on a big operational challenge (and a lot of debt) when it acquired Smurfit-Stone at a generous price in 2011, but the company has likely not maxxed out the potential synergies and operational improvements here. I do have some concerns about the near-term health of the corrugated and containerboard markets, but it looks as though the shares already factor in a fair bit of that risk.
Read the full article here:
Smart Deals And Smurfit Synergies Can Still Help Rock-Tenn
The company took on a big operational challenge (and a lot of debt) when it acquired Smurfit-Stone at a generous price in 2011, but the company has likely not maxxed out the potential synergies and operational improvements here. I do have some concerns about the near-term health of the corrugated and containerboard markets, but it looks as though the shares already factor in a fair bit of that risk.
Read the full article here:
Smart Deals And Smurfit Synergies Can Still Help Rock-Tenn
Seeking Alpha: Roper Delivers A Best-In-Class Performance
Conditions seem to have improved in a big way for industrial conglomerate Roper (ROP)
in a relatively short time. Not only did Roper beat expectations for
the quarter, but the company delivered one of the best results in its
sector. Roper is seldom an exceptionally cheap stock, but valuation
isn't too demanding and the combination of good order momentum and an
active hunt for M&A could lead to a more active 2014 for
shareholders.
Follow the link to read more:
Roper Delivers A Best-In-Class Performance
Follow the link to read more:
Roper Delivers A Best-In-Class Performance
Labels:
3M,
Danaher,
Roper,
Seeking Alpha
Monday, April 28, 2014
The Motley Fool: For Forest Labs, Inc, Deals Are Coming Fast And Furiex
This is definitely a season of deals in the health care space, with Forest Labs (NYSE: FRX ) choosing to add another asset to its GI business ahead of its anticipated merger with Actavis (NYSE: ACT ) . Forest Labs is offering a significant premium for Furiex Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: FURX )
and there are still FDA-related risks in play, but it seems like a
reasonable offer for what could prove to be a highly synergistic asset.
Read the full article here:
For Forest Labs, Inc, Deals Are Coming Fast And Furiex
Read the full article here:
For Forest Labs, Inc, Deals Are Coming Fast And Furiex
The Motley Fool: Do Disappointing Earnings Create a Good Buying Opportunity?
By most standards, Covidien (NYSE: COV )
has been a superior performer in the med-tech sector. That hasn't
always shown up in the company's stock performance, however, as rebound
stories like St. Jude Medical, Boston Scientific, and Bard have
raced ahead. With Covidien announcing a noisy quarter with some
apparent seasonal pressures on Friday, it looks as though Fools have an
opportunity to add shares in a high-quality name at a pretty interesting
valuation.
Continue here:
Do Disappointing Earnings Create a Good Buying Opportunity?
Continue here:
Do Disappointing Earnings Create a Good Buying Opportunity?
Labels:
C R Bard,
Covidien,
Johnson Johnson,
Stryker,
The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool: The Clouds Are Parting for Weatherford International
The first-quarter earnings report for the fourth-largest energy services provider, Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT )
, was not flawless in terms of growth or margins. What was, and is,
more important is that the company has very clearly put itself on a path
of serious self-improvement and is remaking itself into a high-margin
provider of services with relatively little overlap with the big three
-- Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB ) , Halliburton (NYSE: HAL ) , and Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI ) .
With this progress, the penalty to Weatherford's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization multiple no longer seems as appropriate, and these shares continue to look undervalued as an improving play on unconventional reservoirs.
Follow this link for more:
The Clouds Are Parting for Weatherford International
With this progress, the penalty to Weatherford's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization multiple no longer seems as appropriate, and these shares continue to look undervalued as an improving play on unconventional reservoirs.
Follow this link for more:
The Clouds Are Parting for Weatherford International
Labels:
Baker Hughes,
Halliburton,
Schlumberger,
The Motley Fool,
Weatherford
Seeking Alpha: AtriCure Making Progress, But Can It Maximize Value On Its Own?
These are good times for investors to start thinking about putting
together shopping lists for speculative healthcare stocks, as the market
has been bailing out on not only biotechs but also speculative
med-techs. AtriCure (ATRC)
isn't speculative in many important respects, as the company has
approvals for its key products, but is still quite speculative insofar
as the company's ability to convince doctors to adopt its surgical
ablation approach and generate meaningful revenue and profits.
Read more here:
AtriCure Making Progress, But Can It Maximize Value On Its Own?
Read more here:
AtriCure Making Progress, But Can It Maximize Value On Its Own?
Seeking Alpha: At Basic Energy Services, Sentiment Has Changed Faster Than The Business
A sector-wide re-rating can be a powerful driver for a stock, and so it has been for Basic Energy Services (BAS).
Amidst an improving outlook (or at least perceived outlook) for energy
service stocks, Basic Energy has been one of the strongest names -
handily beating Schlumberger (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL) so far this year, as well as most other small/mid-cap service names like Key (KEG), Superior (SPN), RPC (RES), and C & J Energy Services (CJES).
While I thought that Basic Energy had been overlooked back in 2013, it's hard to make the same argument now that sector-wide forward EV/EBITDA multiples have moved from 5x to 6x to 7x to 8x. Basic Energy is likely to see good improvements in its core Permian market in 2014, and those improvements are going to be an important part of the remaining upside in these shares as sentiment has already improved markedly.
Continue reading here:
At Basic Energy Services, Sentiment Has Changed Faster Than The Business
While I thought that Basic Energy had been overlooked back in 2013, it's hard to make the same argument now that sector-wide forward EV/EBITDA multiples have moved from 5x to 6x to 7x to 8x. Basic Energy is likely to see good improvements in its core Permian market in 2014, and those improvements are going to be an important part of the remaining upside in these shares as sentiment has already improved markedly.
Continue reading here:
At Basic Energy Services, Sentiment Has Changed Faster Than The Business
Seeking Alpha: Superior Energy Services Needs U.S. Land To Turn
Investors have gotten quite a bit more bullish about prospects for the
energy service companies over the last three to six months, largely due
to increased optimism that U.S. land conditions really are improving.
That should be good news for Superior Energy Services (SPN),
as should the signs that deepwater Gulf of Mexico activity is turning
around. The real question for Superior, though, is whether the company
can better leverage its "integrated lite" operating structure and start
delivering better returns for shareholders.
To read more, please click here:
Superior Energy Services Needs U.S. Land To Turn
To read more, please click here:
Superior Energy Services Needs U.S. Land To Turn
Seeking Alpha: Old Dominion Continues To Take Share
As I expected back in February, Old Dominion's (ODFL)
fourth quarter was just a bump on the road and business has gotten back
to normal. Normal is a very good thing for Old Dominion, as the
company's superior service quality continues to fuel share gains and
good cost control allows the company to thrive with relatively lower
price increases than its competition. Old Dominion shares aren't cheap
by standard valuation metrics, but I believe standard metrics may be a
little too confining for a significantly above-average operator.
Read the full article here:
Old Dominion Continues To Take Share
Read the full article here:
Old Dominion Continues To Take Share
Labels:
Arkansas Best,
Con-Way,
Old Dominion,
Saia,
Seeking Alpha,
YRC Worldwide
Seeking Alpha: Another 'Is What It Is' Quarter From Microsemi
Because Microsemi (MSCC)
zigs where most other chip companies zag, it never really seems to fit
in with the general sentiment on chips. That's a plus when chip stocks
go into the tank, but it can be frustrating when there's relatively more
optimism about the semiconductor space. Given Microsemi's position in
timing/synchronization and its growing FPGA business, I'm content to
continue holding these undervalued shares, but I acknowledge that the
company's erratic progress on revenue growth and margins will frustrate
many investors.
Continue here:
Another 'Is What It Is' Quarter From Microsemi
Continue here:
Another 'Is What It Is' Quarter From Microsemi
Labels:
Altera,
Frequency Electronics,
Microsemi,
Seeking Alpha,
Xilinx
Seeking Alpha: For Ultratech The Story Remains 'Ready, Set... Wait!'
The wait goes on at Ultratech (UTEK),
and it's not a particularly pleasant one for investors (nor, I imagine,
the company's executives and employees). Management noted increased
quoting activity for LSA systems and continues to expect orders and
shipments to materialize soon, but investors are left in a frustrating
grey zone wondering when foundries will make their orders and how the
annealing market will shake out between Applied Materials (AMAT), Ultratech, DNS (OTC:DINRY), and Mattson (MTSN).
Ultratech's first quarter results do offer a reminder that the company has other credible business lines, including advanced packaging and tools for high brightness LED manufacturing, but it is the ramp in laser spike annealing tools that will make or break the stock in the near term. Ultratech could still trade into the $30s from here, and investors are now only a quarter or two away on better visibility into this next round of annealing tool orders.
Follow the link to read more:
For Ultratech The Story Remains 'Ready, Set... Wait!'
Ultratech's first quarter results do offer a reminder that the company has other credible business lines, including advanced packaging and tools for high brightness LED manufacturing, but it is the ramp in laser spike annealing tools that will make or break the stock in the near term. Ultratech could still trade into the $30s from here, and investors are now only a quarter or two away on better visibility into this next round of annealing tool orders.
Follow the link to read more:
For Ultratech The Story Remains 'Ready, Set... Wait!'
Labels:
Applied Materials,
Canon,
Dainippon Screen,
Mattson,
Seeking Alpha,
Ultratech
Friday, April 25, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Is There Enough Gas In The Tank To Take CB&I Back Up?
The opportunity to leverage plentiful U.S. low-cost natural gas reserves into LNG exports is real and CB&I (CBI)
has built itself into one of the best engineering, procurement, and
construction companies in that space. Along the way it has also
positioned itself as a strong player in chemicals and power, as well as a
provider of process technologies for the chemical, refining, and gas
processing markets.
CB&I has over 10 quarters of revenue already in the order book, and there is still the possibility (if not probability) of additional awards in LNG, chemicals, and OUS power plants. The catch, as is so often the case, is in the valuation. There's a pretty long record of EPC companies trading at forward EV/EBITDA multiples in the 8x to 10x range, and applying that range to CB&I doesn't point to much upside in a stock that has already risen 60% in the last year, 100% in the last two years, and almost 700% in the last five years.
Read more here:
Is There Enough Gas In The Tank To Take CB&I Back Up?
CB&I has over 10 quarters of revenue already in the order book, and there is still the possibility (if not probability) of additional awards in LNG, chemicals, and OUS power plants. The catch, as is so often the case, is in the valuation. There's a pretty long record of EPC companies trading at forward EV/EBITDA multiples in the 8x to 10x range, and applying that range to CB&I doesn't point to much upside in a stock that has already risen 60% in the last year, 100% in the last two years, and almost 700% in the last five years.
Read more here:
Is There Enough Gas In The Tank To Take CB&I Back Up?
Labels:
CB I,
Fluor,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Allied World Delivers A Good Underwriting Result, Spiked With Reserves And Investments
About four months ago, I pointed out Allied World Assurance (AWH)
as a high-quality specialty liability-focused insurance company that
was trading a little rich for my tastes. With the stock having lagged
the S&P 500 by about 6% since then, due in part to concerns about
reserve strengthening in the professional healthcare liability space and
overall worries about P&C insurance, now the valuation is starting
to look a little more interesting.
Please continue here:
Allied World Delivers A Good Underwriting Result, Spiked With Reserves And Investments
Please continue here:
Allied World Delivers A Good Underwriting Result, Spiked With Reserves And Investments
Labels:
Allied World Assurance,
Seeking Alpha,
Travelers,
W R Berkley
Seeking Alpha: Can Fortinet Deliver A One-Two Punch Of Growth With Higher Margins?
It's probably true of all industries to some extent, but the
enterprise/network security business seems to be one where there's
always some nagging detail for the companies. Check Point (CHKP) has fantastic margins, but hasn't always been quick to innovate and seems willing to cede margin to maintain share. Palo Alto (PANW) has a great sales effort, but sometimes seems to overstate its own capabilities. For Fortinet (FTNT),
the challenge is pairing good revenue growth and share gains with
strong margins, and judging by management's guidance that challenge will
continue on at least another quarter.
Read more here:
Can Fortinet Deliver A One-Two Punch Of Growth With Higher Margins?
Read more here:
Can Fortinet Deliver A One-Two Punch Of Growth With Higher Margins?
Labels:
Check Point,
FireEye,
Fortinet,
Palo Alto Networks,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Noise Over DCBs Clouds An Otherwise Okay Quarter At Bard
For a company with relatively modest underlying growth trends, C.R.Bard (BCR)
has generated a fair bit of enthusiasm on the Street for the enhanced
growth prospects bought through M&A and the royalty stream from Gore.
Among the acquired products, investors are particularly keen on the
prospects for the Lutonix drug-coated balloon and management's comments
on the earnings call only seemed to add more confusion to already noisy
situation. Bard is not a particularly cheap stock at these levels and
the company is going to need better organic growth and clear
differentiation in drug-coated balloons to support further gains.
Read the full article here:
Noise Over DCBs Clouds An Otherwise Okay Quarter At Bard
Read the full article here:
Noise Over DCBs Clouds An Otherwise Okay Quarter At Bard
Labels:
C R Bard,
Covidien,
Johnson Johnson,
Medtronic,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Federal-Mogul Has Work To Do On Margins
There were some solid positives in Federal-Mogul's (FDML)
first quarter, as the company's Powertrain business handily outgrew the
light vehicle markets in North America and Europe and the company
successfully refinanced some large outstanding debt balances. There's
more work to do on margins, though, and the company is facing
increasingly difficult comps, higher interest expense, and integration
expenses from three recent acquisitions. Federal-Mogul still looks
undervalued today, but that's not exactly a consensus opinion and the
company's high debt level increases the overall risk.
Please continue here:
Federal-Mogul Has Work To Do On Margins
Please continue here:
Federal-Mogul Has Work To Do On Margins
Labels:
Federal-Mogul,
GKN,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: The Going Is Getting Tougher And W.R. Berkley Is Still Going
Four months ago, I was not too keen on paying up for W.R. Berkley (WRB)
shares in the face of an increasingly difficult insurance environment,
higher leverage, and a rich valuation. Since that late December piece, WRB shares are basically flat, while my preferred choice, RenRe (RNR),
is up around 10%. On a positive note, W.R. Berkley continues to execute
at an above-average level, and that makes it a little harder to fret as
much about the valuation.
Follow this link for more:
The Going Is Getting Tougher And W.R. Berkley Is Still Going
Follow this link for more:
The Going Is Getting Tougher And W.R. Berkley Is Still Going
Thursday, April 24, 2014
The Motley Fool: Execution Key to Cameron International Corp Unlocking More Value
This looks to be an interesting year in the energy capital equipment space, as large E&P companies like Petrobras, Total, and BP
look to move forward with ambitious plans to develop deepwater fields.
While order growth may not be as strong for companies like Cameron (NYSE: CAM ) , National Oilwell (NYSE: NOV ) , FMC Technologies (NYSE: FTI ) , General Electric, or Drill-Quip (NYSE: DRQ )
, it is definitely an opportunity to execute and show operational
excellence. In particular, Cameron needs to show that its $11 billion
backlog can be successfully converted into higher-margin cash flows.
Read more here:
Execution Key to Cameron International Corp Unlocking More Value
Read more here:
Execution Key to Cameron International Corp Unlocking More Value
The Motley Fool: $13 Billion Bold Play: Zimmer Holdings, Inc's Purchase of Biomet
In mid-December I wrote that there was at least some chance that ortho giant Zimmer (NYSE: ZMH ) would make a bid for Biomet
and become the dominant company in hip and knee implants, as well as
leverage stronger share in areas like extremities, dental, trauma, and
spine. That speculation has come to pass, as Zimmer has announced a
$13.35 billion bid for Biomet. Assuming the deal passes regulatory
scrunity, Zimmer is likely to see meaningful cost synergy, but there are
risks involved in devoting such a large amount of capital to a market
with some growth challenges.
Continue here:
$13 Billion Bold Play: Zimmer Holdings, Inc's Purchase of Biomet
Continue here:
$13 Billion Bold Play: Zimmer Holdings, Inc's Purchase of Biomet
Labels:
Biomet,
Johnson Johnson,
Smith Nephew,
Stryker,
The Motley Fool,
Zimmer
Seeking Alpha: Lincoln Electric Comes Up A Little Short Amidst Sluggish Markets
The much looked-for industrial recovery seems to be a little behind
schedule, or at least that's one possible interpretation of weak welding
results from Lincoln Electric (LECO) and Illinois Tool Works (ITW). With Colfax (CFX)
due to report tomorrow (as of this writing), investors will have a more
complete picture of a market segment that often correlates pretty
closely with overall economic activity, but the picture isn't as strong
as analysts and investors had hoped.
Lincoln often trades at a premium valuation, and with double-digit ROICs in the nine of the last ten years, it's not hard to see why. With that, I'm tempted to think of pullbacks in the stock as buying opportunities for long-term investors, though I recognize the risk that a prolonged period of sluggishness in welding volume will weaken the stock further.
Click here for more:
Lincoln Electric Comes Up A Little Short Amidst Sluggish Markets
Lincoln often trades at a premium valuation, and with double-digit ROICs in the nine of the last ten years, it's not hard to see why. With that, I'm tempted to think of pullbacks in the stock as buying opportunities for long-term investors, though I recognize the risk that a prolonged period of sluggishness in welding volume will weaken the stock further.
Click here for more:
Lincoln Electric Comes Up A Little Short Amidst Sluggish Markets
Labels:
Colfax,
Illinois Tool Works,
Lincoln Electric,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Growth And Self-Improvement Versus Value At TCF Financial
Regional mid-cap bank TCF Financial (TCB)
hasn't been shy about changing its business model to adapt to the new
realities of the banking market. The company has cleared out a lot of
its high-cost capital and shifted its operational focus towards a
national specialty/niche lending platform with a low-cost local deposit
base. The model TCF Financial is following carries above-average risks
and the shares are not particularly cheap by convention means, but this
bank looks poised to be an above-average grower at a time when bank
earnings growth is hard to find.
Follow this link to read the full article:
Growth And Self-Improvement Versus Value At TCF Financial
Follow this link to read the full article:
Growth And Self-Improvement Versus Value At TCF Financial
Labels:
Bank of America,
BB T,
Seeking Alpha,
TCF Financial,
U.S. Bancorp,
Wells Fargo
Wednesday, April 23, 2014
The Motley Fool: Can Allergan Find an Alternative To Valeant?
No one will accuse Valeant (NYSE: VRX )
CEO Mike Pearson of lacking boldness. He has laid out a strategy for
turning Valeant into one of the largest pharmaceutical/med-tech
companies in the world and has proven more than willing to turn to bold
M&A moves to make it happen. Valeant's latest move is far and away
the largest – a $47 billion bid (at the time of the offer) for Allergan (NYSE: AGN )
– but the target's acceptance is hardly a sure thing and the company's
views about the pharma industry may give investors reason for pause
regarding the long-term strategy.
Read the full article here:
Can Allergan Find an Alternative To Valeant?
Read the full article here:
Can Allergan Find an Alternative To Valeant?
Labels:
Allergan,
AstraZeneca,
Johnson Johnson,
Shire,
The Motley Fool,
Valeant
The Motley Fool: Illumina Inc's Seemingly Endless Victory Lap
It gets harder and harder to criticize a company's valuation when that
company continues to surpass expectations and build its lead on its
rivals. That is the basic story for Illumina (NASDAQ: ILMN ) , as this company continues to distance itself from Thermo Fisher (NYSE: TMO )
and other would-be sequencing competitors and build up its bona fides
in the diagnostics market. With a diagnostics opportunity at least twice
as large as the $2 billion sequencing market (and growing at a
double-digit rate), there seems to be enough growth potential to keep
investors keenly interested in this name.
Continue reading here:
Illumina Inc's Seemingly Endless Victory Lap
Continue reading here:
Illumina Inc's Seemingly Endless Victory Lap
Labels:
Illumina,
Oxford Nanopore,
Pacific Biosciences,
Roche,
Thermo Fisher
Seeking Alpha: Almirall Quietly Building A Better Business
Definitely not a household name for most American readers, Spain's Almirall SA (OTC:LBTSF)
(ALM.MC) is building an interesting specialty pharmaceutical business
for itself in Europe. Roughly 80% of the company's sales are in Europe
(half of that in Spain) and the company still depends upon in-licensed
products for close to half of its sales, but aclidinium and a newly
expanded dermatology business could lead to meaningful revenue growth
and margin leverage in the coming years.
Almirall certainly still has challenges in front of it, including getting a combo version of aclidinium through the FDA approval process and bulking up its drug development efforts, but the forward valuation doesn't seem demanding and mid-cap drug companies are being hunted to extinction in the M&A market.
Follow this link for more:
Almirall Quietly Building A Better Business
Almirall certainly still has challenges in front of it, including getting a combo version of aclidinium through the FDA approval process and bulking up its drug development efforts, but the forward valuation doesn't seem demanding and mid-cap drug companies are being hunted to extinction in the M&A market.
Follow this link for more:
Almirall Quietly Building A Better Business
Labels:
Almirall,
Forest Labs,
GlaxoSmithKline,
Novartis,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Aging Wells And Deepwater Expansion Bodes Well For Helix Energy Solutions
Investors haven't been too fond of offshore energy service plays over the last six months, with shares of companies like Oceaneering (OII), GulfMark (GLF), Tidewater (TDW), and Technip (OTCQX:TKPPY) all in the red. Against a peer group that has declined from around 5% to 20%, Helix Energy Solutions' (HLX)
roughly 5% decline doesn't seem quite as bad. More importantly, the
company's backlog continues to build and the company is likely looking
at many years of well intervention deepwater support work. Helix looks
about as undervalued as its peer group, but the company's more
aggressive newbuild program and increasing acceptance of the company's
well intervention approach could lead to outperformance.
Read more here:
Aging Wells And Deepwater Expansion Bodes Well For Helix Energy Solutions
Read more here:
Aging Wells And Deepwater Expansion Bodes Well For Helix Energy Solutions
Seeking Alpha: GulfMark Looking At Short-Term Worries And Long-Term Opportunities
GulfMark Offshore (GLF)
has a high-quality, high-spec modern marine vessel fleet, but investors
presently seem more concerned about the risks of delays in new rig
deployments in the Gulf of Mexico than the opportunities offered by
higher utilization and dayrates in the North Sea and GoM in the coming
years. GulfMark isn't hands down a screaming bargain today, but I
believe the current market conditions support a bullish outlook for
profit and cash flow generation over the next couple of years.
Follow this link to continue:
GulfMark Looking At Short-Term Worries And Long-Term Opportunities
Follow this link to continue:
GulfMark Looking At Short-Term Worries And Long-Term Opportunities
Labels:
Gulfmark Offshore,
Oceaneering,
Seeking Alpha,
Tidewater
Seeking Alpha: Sterling Strengthens The Business, But Umpqua Not Exactly Cheap
There's likely always going to be a place for local/regional banks
that focus on customer service and deep relationships as opposed to
cross-selling and cost efficiency. Umpqua Holdings (UMPQ) is one such bank in the Pacific Northwest, where it has the #4 position in Oregon behind Bank Of America (BAC), U.S. Bancorp (USB), and Wells Fargo (WFC) and the #7 position in Washington state.
Umpqua has a lot going for it, including an uncommon retail-oriented branch network and strong growth opportunities in leasing. The acquisition of Sterling not only gives the company more scale in its core operating areas, but also the prospect of synergies and cost leverage and a more balanced loan book. The biggest problem is that the Street is already pretty favorably disposed toward Umpqua and the shares seem to factor in some pretty bullish expectations already.
Continue reading here:
Sterling Strengthens The Business, But Umpqua Not Exactly Cheap
Umpqua has a lot going for it, including an uncommon retail-oriented branch network and strong growth opportunities in leasing. The acquisition of Sterling not only gives the company more scale in its core operating areas, but also the prospect of synergies and cost leverage and a more balanced loan book. The biggest problem is that the Street is already pretty favorably disposed toward Umpqua and the shares seem to factor in some pretty bullish expectations already.
Continue reading here:
Sterling Strengthens The Business, But Umpqua Not Exactly Cheap
Labels:
Bank of America,
Seeking Alpha,
U.S. Bancorp,
Umpqua,
Wells Fargo
Tuesday, April 22, 2014
The Motley Fool: Is This a Good Deal for Novartis AG and GlaxoSmithKline plc?
This seems to be a week for Big Pharma to do big things, and Novartis (NYSE: NVS ) and GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK )
are certainly doing their part. The two companies announced a series
of transactions that seem to offer "win-win" opportunities to clean up
and consolidate some non-core operations for both companies. Though it
seems like Glaxo is getting the better deal, there's arguably less risk
to the Novartis side of the transactions.
Read the full article here:
Is This a Good Deal for Novartis AG and GlaxoSmithKline plc?
Read the full article here:
Is This a Good Deal for Novartis AG and GlaxoSmithKline plc?
Labels:
GlaxoSmithKline,
Lilly,
Novartis,
The Motley Fool
Seeking Alpha: Cepheid's Results And Shares Are On Different Paths
Within the higher-growth molecular diagnostics segment of diagnostics, Cepheid (CPHD) remains one of the real up-and-comers. Roche (OTCQX:RHHBY)
still has quite a bit more market share than Cepheid (and/or anybody
else), but Cepheid stands shoulder to shoulder with big names like Abbott (ABT), Becton Dickinson (BDX), and Hologic (HOLX)
and actually has leading share in terms of systems placement. Margins
are still a "build it and they will come" sort of proposition, but as
Cepheid continues to develop and launch high-volume tests, it should be
in position to reap significant leverage down the road.
The concern here is that the market is already a long ways down that road in terms of valuation. Even if the company can more than double its share of the MDx market and generate FCF margins on par with the best companies, the shares are already well ahead of the implied value. Assigning Cepheid the typical top-of-the-range med-tech growth multiple of 8.0x forward sales produces a more attractive $55 target, more than 20% above today's price, but that multiple may be harder to maintain if the market really is turning away from aggressive growth stories in the healthcare space.
Continue reading here:
Cepheid's Results And Shares Are On Different Paths
The concern here is that the market is already a long ways down that road in terms of valuation. Even if the company can more than double its share of the MDx market and generate FCF margins on par with the best companies, the shares are already well ahead of the implied value. Assigning Cepheid the typical top-of-the-range med-tech growth multiple of 8.0x forward sales produces a more attractive $55 target, more than 20% above today's price, but that multiple may be harder to maintain if the market really is turning away from aggressive growth stories in the healthcare space.
Continue reading here:
Cepheid's Results And Shares Are On Different Paths
Labels:
Abbott Labs,
Becton Dickinson,
Cepheid,
Hologic,
Roche,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Can Coca-Cola Amatil Bring Back The Fizz?
Bottling is often overstated as a great business. Bottling and selling assorted flavored sugar waters with Coca-Cola (KO) or PepsiCo (PEP)
labels can be a license to print money in some cases, but other factors
like competition, consumer preferences, and the power of retailers can
make a big difference. Investors in Coca-Cola Amatil (OTCPK:CCLAY)
have seen just how significant these factors can be, as the shares of
what has been regarded as one of the best-run Coca-Cola bottlers are
down more than 40% over the past year as a variety of factors have
combined to undermine profits.
Read more here:
Can Coca-Cola Amatil Bring Back The Fizz?
Read more here:
Can Coca-Cola Amatil Bring Back The Fizz?
Labels:
Coca-Cola,
Coca-Cola Amatil,
Pepsico,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Time To Stock Up On Stock Building Supply
In the relatively short time it has been a publicly-traded company, Stock Building Supply (STCK)
has been a solid performer and a good way to play improving residential
housing construction. Up about 30% from early August, Stock has been
outperformed by Universal Forest Products (UFPI), which has climbed about 40%, but has outperformed Headwaters (HW) and Louisiana-Pacific (LPX)
by wide margins. With the company picking up more share of new projects
and looking to improve its mix toward higher-margin products, better
results and a higher stock price seem like reasonable assumptions today.
Continue here:
Time To Stock Up On Stock Building Supply
Continue here:
Time To Stock Up On Stock Building Supply
Seeking Alpha: High Costs Leave Copper Mountain Mining Leveraged To Higher Prices
Costs matter in mining, but not always in the way that investors think.
All things considered, it is better to have the lowest possible cost of
production, but companies like Copper Mountain Mining (OTCPK:CPPMF,
(CUM.TO)) with elevated costs can offer more upside when commodity
prices rise. This company has done many things right, including getting
its southern British Columbia mine up and running both on time and on
budget, but production challenges and high costs loom as ongoing
challenges. These shares aren't tremendously interesting at prevailing
prices, but if copper goes on a tear, these shares should outperform the
peer group.
Click this link for more:
High Costs Leave Copper Mountain Mining Leveraged To Higher Prices
Click this link for more:
High Costs Leave Copper Mountain Mining Leveraged To Higher Prices
Monday, April 21, 2014
The Motley Fool: Pfizer, Inc. Rebuffed: Is AstraZeneca plc Worth Another Try?
Big-time pharma mergers have had a mixed track record, with large
combinations often leading to significant cost reductions (and firings)
in sales and administration but at the cost of large disruptions to
R&D. Pfizer (NYSE: PFE ) is apparently not afraid to give it another try, as word came out over the Easter holiday that the company has approached AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN ) with a $100 billion-plus bid to acquire this once-struggling pharma giant.
Time will tell if Pfizer can coax AstraZeneca to the negotiating table and seal a deal, but such a combination may not be as big of a risk for Pfizer as it may immediately seem.
Continue here:
Pfizer, Inc. Rebuffed: Is AstraZeneca plc Worth Another Try?
Time will tell if Pfizer can coax AstraZeneca to the negotiating table and seal a deal, but such a combination may not be as big of a risk for Pfizer as it may immediately seem.
Continue here:
Pfizer, Inc. Rebuffed: Is AstraZeneca plc Worth Another Try?
Labels:
AstraZeneca,
Bristol-Myers Squibb,
Merck,
Pfizer,
The Motley Fool
Sunday, April 20, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Has First Cash Financial Seen The Turn?
The core pawn business at First Cash Financial (FCFS)
has definitely slowed, with weak conditions in both Mexico and the U.S.
That the company has managed this better than most of its rivals is not
all that much comfort, particularly as weaker scrap and retail margins
coupled with higher store expenses has actually led to shrinking
operating income.
The good news is that conditions may be already starting to improve in Mexico. Discount retailers are seeing improving traffic and are starting to pull back on more aggressive discounting, while consumer confidence and job growth are back on the way up. This may not be a sharp rebound year for First Cash, and investors are likely getting restless in regards to seeing/hearing more about expansion into new markets, but the valuation is attractive enough to make it all worth the wait.
Read more here:
Has First Cash Financial Seen The Turn?
The good news is that conditions may be already starting to improve in Mexico. Discount retailers are seeing improving traffic and are starting to pull back on more aggressive discounting, while consumer confidence and job growth are back on the way up. This may not be a sharp rebound year for First Cash, and investors are likely getting restless in regards to seeing/hearing more about expansion into new markets, but the valuation is attractive enough to make it all worth the wait.
Read more here:
Has First Cash Financial Seen The Turn?
Labels:
First Cash Financial,
Seeking Alpha,
Soriana,
Walmex
Seeking Alpha: As Palo Alto Networks Disrupts The Market, More Gains Can Come
Next-gen security company Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
certainly does not look all that cheap on backward-looking metrics like
price/sales, but the company's share gain prospects and well
above-average growth could lead to more price appreciation from here.
Palo Alto already generates pretty solid free cash flow margins with
less than 15% market share, and as the company looks to turn up the
pressure on Cisco (CSCO) and Check Point (CHKP), margin leverage could move higher.
Certainly, there a lot of words like "could" and "potential" when it comes to Palo Alto. The company has built itself into a low-teens market share holder in the network security space, but Cisco, Check Point, Fortinet (FTNT) and the rest are not going to roll over. Likewise, there are ongoing concerns about the company's litigation with Juniper (JNPR), the direction of future network security threats and solutions, and the fundamental long-term profitability of the business. Expectations for Palo Alto are demanding, and the risk is above-average, but this still shapes up as a hybrid hardware/software company worth a closer look.
Follow this link to continue:
As Palo Alto Networks Disrupts The Market, More Gains Can Come
Certainly, there a lot of words like "could" and "potential" when it comes to Palo Alto. The company has built itself into a low-teens market share holder in the network security space, but Cisco, Check Point, Fortinet (FTNT) and the rest are not going to roll over. Likewise, there are ongoing concerns about the company's litigation with Juniper (JNPR), the direction of future network security threats and solutions, and the fundamental long-term profitability of the business. Expectations for Palo Alto are demanding, and the risk is above-average, but this still shapes up as a hybrid hardware/software company worth a closer look.
Follow this link to continue:
As Palo Alto Networks Disrupts The Market, More Gains Can Come
Labels:
Check Point Software,
Cisco,
FireEye,
Fortinet,
Juniper,
Palo Alto Networks,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Can Black Earth Farming Grow Profits?
It looks like enthusiasm has drained out of the global farmland
market, as owners in Canada, the U.S., and Brazil are seeing either
slower increases or actual declines in appraised value. This is not
altogether surprising. While it is true that the global population is
growing and these people will need food, that doesn't mean particular
markets cannot and do not get overheated when investors suddenly see it
as "the next big thing."
While I've written at some length about Brazilian and Argentine agriculture companies like Adecoagro (AGRO), Cresud (CRESY), and SLC Agricola (OTCPK:SLCJY), this time around I'm interested in Black Earth Farming (OTC:BLERF). The legal structure of the company is fairly convoluted; the parent company is based in the Channel Islands, the subsidiaries are legally Cypriot and Russian companies, the shares are listed in Sweden as Swedish Depository Receipts, and the U.S. ticker is the ADR of those shares. As the farmland assets are in Russia, I'm going to go with calling this a Russian farmland company.
Please read more here:
Can Black Earth Farming Grow Profits?
While I've written at some length about Brazilian and Argentine agriculture companies like Adecoagro (AGRO), Cresud (CRESY), and SLC Agricola (OTCPK:SLCJY), this time around I'm interested in Black Earth Farming (OTC:BLERF). The legal structure of the company is fairly convoluted; the parent company is based in the Channel Islands, the subsidiaries are legally Cypriot and Russian companies, the shares are listed in Sweden as Swedish Depository Receipts, and the U.S. ticker is the ADR of those shares. As the farmland assets are in Russia, I'm going to go with calling this a Russian farmland company.
Please read more here:
Can Black Earth Farming Grow Profits?
Labels:
Black Earth Farming,
Seeking Alpha,
SLC Agricola,
Trigon Agri
Seeking Alpha: Whiting Petroleum Working On The Second Act
Whiting Petroleum (WLL)
has built itself over the years into one of the largest landholders in
the Bakken, but instead of giving the company a victory lap, the Street
is worried about whether that acreage is now too mature. Not only does
Whiting's Williston acreage still have more than a little life left in
it, this isn't a one-play story, and the company's potential in the
Niobrara is definitely worthwhile. Investors have more than a few good
investing options in the oil and gas sector today, but Whiting is worth a
closer look.
Continue here:
Whiting Petroleum Working On The Second Act
Continue here:
Whiting Petroleum Working On The Second Act
Thursday, April 17, 2014
The Motley Fool: Even With A Change At The Top, Danaher Corporation Will Roll On
Multi-industry conglomerate Danaher (NYSE: DHR )
definitely buried the lede this quarter, as news of the unexpected
retirement of well-liked CEO H. Lawrence Culp next year overshadowed an
otherwise "OK ... but not great" quarter. Losing a good CEO is also a
risk for a company, but Danaher is a consummate example of a company
that reloads instead of rebuilds. These shares are not particularly
cheap and they rarely ever are, but an overreaction to this news could
perhaps create a window of opportunity.
Read more here:
Even With A Change At The Top, Danaher Corporation Will Roll On
Read more here:
Even With A Change At The Top, Danaher Corporation Will Roll On
Seeking Alpha: Xenoport's Path Is Long, But The Potential Is There
Potential is a word you hear a lot in biotech, but it's also worth
remembering a quote (apocryphally attributed to former Dallas Cowboys
defensive lineman Randy White) that goes "potential is a fancy French
word that means you haven't done yet".
If XenoPort (XNPT) can establish '829 as a true peer to Biogen Idec's (BIIB) Tecfidera, or possibly better in some respects, the stock is going to do very, very well. Of course, if the data don't come through, this company has very little left other than a record of repeated disappointments.
Please continue here:
Xenoport's Path Is Long, But The Potential Is There
If XenoPort (XNPT) can establish '829 as a true peer to Biogen Idec's (BIIB) Tecfidera, or possibly better in some respects, the stock is going to do very, very well. Of course, if the data don't come through, this company has very little left other than a record of repeated disappointments.
Please continue here:
Xenoport's Path Is Long, But The Potential Is There
Labels:
Alkermes,
Almirall,
Biogen Idec,
Forward Pharma,
Seeking Alpha,
XenoPort
Seeking Alpha: After A Rough Patch, Tidewater Looks A Lot More Interesting
Back in October Tidewater (TDW)
was one of the relatively few energy service companies that looked
overvalued to me. While I liked the company's strong position in
offshore and deepwater supply vessels, I just didn't think that paying
such a high multiple was reasonable given risks in the North Sea and
Angola, not to mention potential delays in floater and jackup
deliveries.
As it turns out, the shares declined more than 20% since that piece, with the stock taking a big hit on disappointing third quarter results. I don't see the results as a sign of any particular operating deficiency, though, and I believe the reset in valuation and expectations makes this a much more interesting name to consider today.
Read more here:
After A Rough Patch, Tidewater Looks A Lot More Interesting
As it turns out, the shares declined more than 20% since that piece, with the stock taking a big hit on disappointing third quarter results. I don't see the results as a sign of any particular operating deficiency, though, and I believe the reset in valuation and expectations makes this a much more interesting name to consider today.
Read more here:
After A Rough Patch, Tidewater Looks A Lot More Interesting
Seeking Alpha: Unit Corp. Still Not Getting Its Full Due
About six months ago, I thought that Unit Corp. (UNT) was undervalued by about 20% to 25% as the company's awkward mix of E&P, land drilling, and midstream assets led it to being overlooked. The shares have risen more than 27% since then, with much of that coming on good fourth quarter results and a significant improvement in sentiment for land drillers and service providers. Enthusiasm over land drillers may be getting a little overdone, but Unit still looks too cheap on a sum-of-the-parts basis and offers worthwhile upside from its E&P drilling program.
Click the link for more:
Unit Corp. Still Not Getting Its Full Due
Labels:
Helmerich Payne,
LINN Energy,
Patterson UTI,
Seeking Alpha,
Unit Corp
Wednesday, April 16, 2014
The Motley Fool: St. Jude Medical Inc.: In-Line Is Just Not Good Enough
It's hard to call it a bad thing when Wall Street likes a stock, but rising expectations can create problems of their own. St. Jude Medical (NYSE: STJ )
seems to have done a good job of selling the Street on the idea that
it has turned over a new leaf and that accelerating growth is around the
corner.
Sell-side price targets are about 20% higher now than at the beginning of 2014, and the buy/hold/sell recommendation breakdown has moved from 11-10-3 to 14-8-2 over the past three months, though the EPS targets for 2014 and 2015 have hardly budged. That optimism may well explain why St. Jude's "good enough" first quarter wasn't quite good enough for investors.
Read the complete article here:
St. Jude Medical Inc.: In-Line Is Just Not Good Enough
Sell-side price targets are about 20% higher now than at the beginning of 2014, and the buy/hold/sell recommendation breakdown has moved from 11-10-3 to 14-8-2 over the past three months, though the EPS targets for 2014 and 2015 have hardly budged. That optimism may well explain why St. Jude's "good enough" first quarter wasn't quite good enough for investors.
Read the complete article here:
St. Jude Medical Inc.: In-Line Is Just Not Good Enough
The Motley Fool: Abbott Labs Earnings: Still Marking Time
Like many other large med-tech companies, Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT )
remains an exercise in frustration right now. There are pressures
throughout most of the company's business lines, with only the
diagnostics business really showing much growth. Although Abbott's
results were a bit weak compared to expectations, analysts and investors
knew that the company was going to go through this lull and longer-term
expectations are still fairly bullish.
Continue here for the full article:
Abbott Labs Earnings: Still Marking Time
Continue here for the full article:
Abbott Labs Earnings: Still Marking Time
Labels:
Abbott Labs,
Johnson Johnson,
Roche,
The Motley Fool
Seeking Alpha: Frustrating To Value, Bank Of The Ozarks Keeps Growing
Valuing normal banks on the basis of their returns on tangible
equity, tangible book value, and long-term returns on equity usually
works pretty well. For better and for worse, Bank of the Ozarks (OZRK)
is not at all a "normal bank" and investors have to make their peace
with a demanding valuation to take part in a very strong, very well-run
bank growth story.
The growth side of Bank of the Ozarks looks fine. While the company is seeing more competition for lending, the bank's capabilities in specialty and complex real estate lending sets it apart. Bank of the Ozarks also has the option to expand its leasing operations and use its equity to expand its asset base. It's tough to put together a valuation model that goes much past the low $60s for these shares, but I don't have any particular expectation of getting them cheap while the growth story remains intact.
Click here to read more:
Frustrating To Value, Bank Of The Ozarks Keeps Growing
The growth side of Bank of the Ozarks looks fine. While the company is seeing more competition for lending, the bank's capabilities in specialty and complex real estate lending sets it apart. Bank of the Ozarks also has the option to expand its leasing operations and use its equity to expand its asset base. It's tough to put together a valuation model that goes much past the low $60s for these shares, but I don't have any particular expectation of getting them cheap while the growth story remains intact.
Click here to read more:
Frustrating To Value, Bank Of The Ozarks Keeps Growing
Labels:
Bank of the Ozarks,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Even After A Little Rally, Credicorp Could Have More Headroom
Shares of Peru's largest bank, Credicorp (BAP)
have spent the last six months basically just hanging around, with the
shares wobbling between $125 and $140. Investors have been mulling over
changes in Peru's economy, the de-dollarization of the banking sector,
loan growth and default trends, as well as company-specific issues like
recent disappointments in earnings and the promising acquisition of
Mibanco.
I hope it goes almost without saying that investing in a Peruvian bank carries certain risks above and beyond your typical investment, though clearly investing in banks like Citigroup (C) and so on is hardly risk-free. This looks like a well-run bank, though, and a company that is structured to benefit from both the growth of the Peruvian economy and the maturation of the Peruvian financial sector. Shares appear undervalued on both an ROE and book value basis, with upside to $160 on relatively conservative assumptions.
Please follow this link for more:
Even After A Little Rally, Credicorp Could Have More Headroom
I hope it goes almost without saying that investing in a Peruvian bank carries certain risks above and beyond your typical investment, though clearly investing in banks like Citigroup (C) and so on is hardly risk-free. This looks like a well-run bank, though, and a company that is structured to benefit from both the growth of the Peruvian economy and the maturation of the Peruvian financial sector. Shares appear undervalued on both an ROE and book value basis, with upside to $160 on relatively conservative assumptions.
Please follow this link for more:
Even After A Little Rally, Credicorp Could Have More Headroom
Labels:
Bank of Nova Scotia,
BBVA,
Credicorp,
Interbank,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: WEX Still Has Good Growth Prospects, But A Fair Valuation
Shares of corporate payments specialist WEX (WEX)
have hardly been still over the last six months, trading between $80
and $101 and sporting a beta (according to Yahoo! Finance) of 1.96. Even
so, they are almost exactly where they were when I wrote that the company was a well-run player in attractive markets, but that the shares seemed a little expensive.
WEX has made some important moves since October, including acquiring operations in Brazil and acquiring Exxon Mobil's (XOM) European ESSO card business, but actual organic transaction growth has been fairly sluggish and the company's B2B virtual MasterCard (MA) program is still a faster-growing work in progress. I do see multiple opportunities for WEX to do better, but there's already a meaningful amount of growth baked into the share price and I still find myself wishing for a better entry price.
Continue here to the full article:
WEX Still Has Good Growth Prospects, But A Fair Valuation
WEX has made some important moves since October, including acquiring operations in Brazil and acquiring Exxon Mobil's (XOM) European ESSO card business, but actual organic transaction growth has been fairly sluggish and the company's B2B virtual MasterCard (MA) program is still a faster-growing work in progress. I do see multiple opportunities for WEX to do better, but there's already a meaningful amount of growth baked into the share price and I still find myself wishing for a better entry price.
Continue here to the full article:
WEX Still Has Good Growth Prospects, But A Fair Valuation
Labels:
FleetCor,
Seeking Alpha,
WEX
Seeking Alpha: XL Group Plc Is Over-Reserved, But Not That Undervalued
XL Group plc (XL)
may have nearly gone out of business during the worst of the credit
crisis, but in the time since the company has done a pretty decent job
of repairing its capital situation, even if at a high cost in terms of
dilution. The bigger question today is whether the company can generate
substantially better results for the long-term - while the company looks
over-reserved and over-capitalized, the nature of its underwriting may
well limit the upside.
Follow this link for more:
XL Group Plc Is Over-Reserved, But Not That Undervalued
Follow this link for more:
XL Group Plc Is Over-Reserved, But Not That Undervalued
Labels:
ACE Limited,
AIG,
Arch Capital,
RenaissanceRe,
Seeking Alpha,
XL Group
Tuesday, April 15, 2014
The Motley Fool: How Much Has Merck Shaken Up the Hepatitis C Race?
Even the wildest Gilead (NASDAQ: GILD )
bulls seemed to acknowledge that the company was not going to grab and
hold 100% share of the hepatitis C (HCV) market. Now the question seems
to be shifting to just how much share rivals like AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV ) , Merck (NYSE: MRK ) , Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY ) , Johnson & Johnson, and others can credibly hope to gain.
Recent data presentations at EASL continue to support the notion that Gilead has the best regimen for treatment-naive patients with the most common HCV genotypes in North America and Western Europe. AbbVie and Merck are looking increasingly competitive in more challenging patients, though. What's more, Gilead's decision to pursue aggressive pricing for its regimen, and the resistance of groups like Express Scripts, raises the question of whether price may prove to be a competitive option.
Follow this link for the full article:
How Much Has Merck Shaken Up the Hepatitis C Race?
Recent data presentations at EASL continue to support the notion that Gilead has the best regimen for treatment-naive patients with the most common HCV genotypes in North America and Western Europe. AbbVie and Merck are looking increasingly competitive in more challenging patients, though. What's more, Gilead's decision to pursue aggressive pricing for its regimen, and the resistance of groups like Express Scripts, raises the question of whether price may prove to be a competitive option.
Follow this link for the full article:
How Much Has Merck Shaken Up the Hepatitis C Race?
Labels:
AbbVie,
Bristol-Myers Squibb,
Gilead,
Merck,
The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool: Johnson & Johnson's Earnings Report Impresses
If you're going to have a "messy" quarter, you probably couldn't do it much better than Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ )
did in the first quarter. Devices and Consumer continue to log
disappointing results, but the higher-margin Pharma business is more
than making up the difference. Priced for total annual returns in the
mid-to-high single digits, Johnson & Johnson isn't the cheapest
health care play these days, but it remains a good all-weather pick with
one of the best-growing large drug franchises.
Continue here:
Johnson & Johnson's Earnings Report Impresses
Continue here:
Johnson & Johnson's Earnings Report Impresses
Labels:
Bard,
Covidien,
Intuitive Surgical,
Johnson Johnson,
Stryker,
The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool: This Forgotten Pharma Could Be a Hit for Your Portfolio
Within the world of Big Pharma, Roche (NASDAQOTH: RHHBY )
offers a pretty compelling mix. Not only does Roche have one of the
strongest oncology platforms today, it also offers one of the deepest
pipelines. The company's non-oncology pipeline is not as strong in
volume, but could well make up for that in quality if a couple of
high-risk trials go the right way. Roche's modest debt and large cash
generation capability also raises the prospect of M&A as biotech
valuations quickly become more reasonable.
Read the full article here:
This Forgotten Pharma Could Be a Hit for Your Portfolio
Read the full article here:
This Forgotten Pharma Could Be a Hit for Your Portfolio
Labels:
Bristol-Myers Squibb,
Merck,
Roche,
The Motley Fool
Monday, April 14, 2014
The Motley Fool: Edwards Lifesciences Corp Scores A Potentially Major Legal Ruling Against Medtronic
If a court ruling made late on Friday holds up, the battle for market share in the U.S. between Edwards Lifesciences' (NYSE: EW ) Sapien family of transcatheter heart valves and Medtronic's (NYSE: MDT )
CoreValve may be over before it begins. In a rare move for the
med-tech industry, a judge granted a motion for a preliminary injunction
against sales of the CoreValve that would effectively put Medtronic on
ice until at least 2016. Medtronic is going to fight this decision, but
it definitely seems likely to reignite optimism for Edwards' position in
this market.
Read the full article here:
Edwards Lifesciences Corp Scores A Potentially Major Legal Ruling Against Medtronic
Read the full article here:
Edwards Lifesciences Corp Scores A Potentially Major Legal Ruling Against Medtronic
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)