Nothing has ever been easy for Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:LXRX).
When the original plan to operate as a generator of knockout-based drug
targets for other companies fell through, the company retrenched around
the idea of developing its own drugs. After drugs targeted at
rheumatoid arthritis and IBD fell through, the company found two much
more promising candidates - telotristat etiprate for carcinoid syndrome
and sotagliflozin (formerly LX 4211) for diabetes.
Here again,
though, the company has encountered unexpected difficulties. Despite a
strong profile in Type 2 diabetics with impaired renal function (a large
piece of the market) and the possibility of strong efficacy in Type 1
diabetes, Lexicon has not been able to attract a partner to develop the
Type 2 indication. This has left the company in a tough spot, forcing it
to conserve resources and scramble for the cash it will need to develop
the Type 1 diabetes indication on its own.
With the company's
recent efforts to raise cash, it does look as though the company can
make it through to pivotal data for both of its lead drugs. Whether the
company can in fact market them on their own remains to be seen, but for
now Lexicon remains what it has long been - a scrappy biotech with ugly
financing and seemingly undervalued clinical assets.
Continue here:
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Fights On
Friday, November 21, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Fights On
Labels:
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Microsemi Chugging Along
Microsemi (NASDAQ:MSCC)
has always been a different sort of semiconductor company. In an
industry where investors pay a lot of attention to leading-edge
technologies, Microsemi has historically been better known for less
advanced high-reliability products that are often sole-sourced. Where
many semiconductor companies are tied heavily to end markets like
communications, industrials and consumer products, Microsemi has long
been more leveraged to defense and aerospace.
The end result of all of this is that Microsemi shares often seem to zig when others zag. But with the defense, aerospace, and space markets looking stronger into 2015 and the company still building up its underrated FPGA business, Microsemi seems to me to be getting stronger at a time when many investors are worried about the semi space. As I continue to see fair value in the low-to-mid $30's, I continue to believe this is a stock well worth investors' due diligence efforts.
Read more here:
Microsemi Chugging Along
The end result of all of this is that Microsemi shares often seem to zig when others zag. But with the defense, aerospace, and space markets looking stronger into 2015 and the company still building up its underrated FPGA business, Microsemi seems to me to be getting stronger at a time when many investors are worried about the semi space. As I continue to see fair value in the low-to-mid $30's, I continue to believe this is a stock well worth investors' due diligence efforts.
Read more here:
Microsemi Chugging Along
Labels:
Altera,
Fairchild Semiconductor,
Microsemi,
Seeking Alpha,
Xilinx
Thursday, November 20, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Multi-Color's One-Two Growth And Margin Punch
Multi-Color (NASDAQ:LABL)
has been on a tear over the last year, up about 50%, and as a
shareholder I can't really complain. Over the last few quarters the
company has seen not only improving organic growth trends, but better
than expected contributions from acquisitions and faster improvements in
margins. I do have some concerns that valuation is getting stretched,
but margin leverage can unlock additional value and the company has a
deep pool of acquisition candidates to augment internal growth efforts.
Continue reading here:
Multi-Color's One-Two Growth And Margin Punch
Continue reading here:
Multi-Color's One-Two Growth And Margin Punch
Labels:
CCL Industries,
Multi-Color,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Short-Term Concerns Stacking Up At MSC Industrial
One of the endless debates between investors is whether it is better
to move in and out of positions in response to short-term trends or to
identify well-run companies with long-term drivers and hold them through
thick and thin. I'm generally in the latter camp, but even I will
acknowledge that it is harder to argue that industrial distributor MSC Industrial (NYSE:MSM) is a must-buy today.
The fundamental bull theses for MSC Industrial still seem to be in place. MSC Industrial is a well-run distributor with a strong core in metalworking that is looking to leverage its CCSG business to address new industry verticals (beyond manufacturing) and to enter new adjacent markets (like fasteners). On the other hand, the company is seeing margin pressure as it spends on initiatives to drive future growth and sales growth targets may be pressured by weak pricing and increased competition from the likes of Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST) and other distributors.
Read the full article here:
Short-Term Concerns Stacking Up At MSC Industrial
The fundamental bull theses for MSC Industrial still seem to be in place. MSC Industrial is a well-run distributor with a strong core in metalworking that is looking to leverage its CCSG business to address new industry verticals (beyond manufacturing) and to enter new adjacent markets (like fasteners). On the other hand, the company is seeing margin pressure as it spends on initiatives to drive future growth and sales growth targets may be pressured by weak pricing and increased competition from the likes of Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST) and other distributors.
Read the full article here:
Short-Term Concerns Stacking Up At MSC Industrial
Labels:
Fastenal,
Grainger,
MSC Industrial,
Seeking Alpha,
Watsco
Friday, November 7, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Staying Ridiculously Busy
Investors who prefer biotechs with potential platform technologies
that can support multiple drug candidates can still find a lot to like
in Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ALNY).
With the shares up about 60% over the past year, a $6.6 billion-plus
market cap, and multiple analysts following the stock, this is no longer
an under-the-radar play on RNA interference, but the company's
preclinical research efforts continue to produce interesting new
candidates while those already in the clinic are showing meaningful
potential.
For a company with one late-stage program, it may seem hard to argue that Alnylam shares are seriously undervalued today. At the same time, I would note that trial read-outs later this year and in 2015 could add significant value as investors revise their projected odds of approval and revenue expectations. I continue to hold these shares myself and I certainly think they make sense in a portfolio for investors who are comfortable with the risks that attend biotech stocks.
Read more here:
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Staying Ridiculously Busy
For a company with one late-stage program, it may seem hard to argue that Alnylam shares are seriously undervalued today. At the same time, I would note that trial read-outs later this year and in 2015 could add significant value as investors revise their projected odds of approval and revenue expectations. I continue to hold these shares myself and I certainly think they make sense in a portfolio for investors who are comfortable with the risks that attend biotech stocks.
Read more here:
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Staying Ridiculously Busy
Labels:
Alnylam,
Sanofi,
Seeking Alpha,
The Medicines Company
Thursday, November 6, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Neurocrine Biosciences Looking Forward To A Big Year
"Hurry up and wait" remains the order of the day for Neurocrine Biosciences (NASDAQ:NBIX).
This research-stage biotech has a big year on the way in 2015, with key
data expected on both Elagolix and the VMAT2 inhibitor NBI-98854 (or
'854). Strong efficacy and safety data could add $7 to $10 per share in
value, while disappointing results would certainly have a negative
impact on the shares. These shares still look undervalued today, though,
and the possibility of new clinical candidates and/or buyout rumors
could add a little excitement before year-end.
Read more here:
Neurocrine Biosciences Looking Forward To A Big Year
Read more here:
Neurocrine Biosciences Looking Forward To A Big Year
Labels:
AbbVie,
Neurocrine Biosciences,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: BRF's Operational Improvements Shining Through
Brazil's largest food company, BRF SA (NYSE:BRFS),
continues to show progress with its self-improvement efforts. Although
economic stress on Brazilian consumers has been leading to some
trading-down in buying patterns, BRF has offset this with a more
profitable SKU mix and an increased focus on operating efficiency.
Despite an unexpected change in the company's leadership, the company
looks on track with previously announced plans to shift more emphasis to
higher-margin processed/packaged products and to prioritize margin and
cash flow efficiency.
The biggest problem with BRF shares, apart from the volatility of the Brazilian economic and political environment, is valuation. I do believe that BRF has a plan that can lead the company into the ranks of the multinational packaged food giants, but the shares reflect a lot of optimism. I'm in no rush to sell just because of valuation, but new investors may find it wiser to wait for one of the seemingly inevitable corrections in the Brazilian stock market before stepping to the plate.
Continue reading here:
BRF's Operational Improvements Shining Through
The biggest problem with BRF shares, apart from the volatility of the Brazilian economic and political environment, is valuation. I do believe that BRF has a plan that can lead the company into the ranks of the multinational packaged food giants, but the shares reflect a lot of optimism. I'm in no rush to sell just because of valuation, but new investors may find it wiser to wait for one of the seemingly inevitable corrections in the Brazilian stock market before stepping to the plate.
Continue reading here:
BRF's Operational Improvements Shining Through
Labels:
BRF Brasil Foods,
JBS,
Seeking Alpha,
Tyson Foods
Wednesday, November 5, 2014
Seeking Alpha: First Cash Continues To Invest For The Long Term
These still aren't the best of times for the pawn/payday lending
segment of the specialty lending industry. Gold is setting multiyear
lows, limiting jewelry-based pawn lending growth, while Mexico's
economic recovery remains slow. First Cash Financial Services (NASDAQ:FCFS) has done alright since my last update, rising more than 2% and beating both the S&P 500 and EZCORP (NASDAQ:EZPW), but lagging Cash America (NYSE:CSH) and not exactly setting the world on fire.
The potential undervaluation here is not necessarily remarkable (in the neighborhood of 10%), but First Cash does appear poised to grow free cash flow at a double-digit rate for many years to come. What's more, management is making use of its cash flow and healthy balance sheet to acquire stores in the U.S. and Mexico at attractive multiples and is likely still considering expansion into additional markets. Weak gold prices and muted retail demand are near-term threats, but I believe First Cash is taking advantage of the present trying times to build its base and position itself for stronger growth down the road.
Read more here:
First Cash Continues To Invest For The Long Term
The potential undervaluation here is not necessarily remarkable (in the neighborhood of 10%), but First Cash does appear poised to grow free cash flow at a double-digit rate for many years to come. What's more, management is making use of its cash flow and healthy balance sheet to acquire stores in the U.S. and Mexico at attractive multiples and is likely still considering expansion into additional markets. Weak gold prices and muted retail demand are near-term threats, but I believe First Cash is taking advantage of the present trying times to build its base and position itself for stronger growth down the road.
Read more here:
First Cash Continues To Invest For The Long Term
Labels:
Cash America,
EZCORP,
First Cash Financial,
Seeking Alpha
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