I have openly granted the growth potential of Colfax (NYSE:CFX),
but I haven't ever really liked the valuation that the Street was
willing to give the stock. While investors and analysts have expected a
lot of magic from the company's welding, gas handling, and fluid
management businesses, I think they have overlooked some of the
structural challenges in the welding business and the end-market risks
in the gas and fluid businesses.
The shares are down about 40% since my last article on the company,
as multiple days of reckoning have hit its valuation hard. The
evolution of the company's businesses over the last ten months has led
me to slash my expectations and valuations, though I can now at least
say that the valuation looks sane. I do have competitive concerns about
the welding business, and I don't share the assumption that management
has a magic touch that will turn every M&A transaction into a
winner. That said, if you're shopping for ideas that have been pummeled
into the ground, this is a name to consider.
Follow this link for more:
Colfax's Benefit Of The Doubt Has Deservedly Gone Away
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