When I first started the process of refreshing and updating my research on Danish enzyme specialist Novozymes (OTCPK:NVZMY),
I was really hoping that the end result would be an undervalued and
appealing investment opportunity. This is a company that I like a lot
and a stock that I want to like. Now, readers can carp about whether
wanting to like a company pollutes the research/analysis process, but I
see no reason to hide the fact that I think Novozymes is a well-run
company with a strong leadership position in a sizable but growing
industry.
Valuation is the issue. I realize that investors should
expect to pay up for quality, and Novozymes's nearly 50% market share in
the industry and strong history of ROIC generation are certainly marks
of quality, but I'm not comfortable with the sort of growth/certainty
that appears to be factored into the valuation today. Investors less
sensitive to valuation may find more to like here (particularly after
the 20% decline from the 52-week high), as this is the sort of situation
where price is really my only major hang-up.
Continue reading here:
Novozymes And The High Cost Of Greatness
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