In terms of smaller industrial companies, I'm not sure
that there are many that deserve the Street's esteem (and the high
multiples that tend to go with it) more than Nordson (NASDAQ:NDSN).
Management has taken the company's strong technology in precision
dispensing and fluid management and used it to establish strong share in
its core adhesives market, as well as solid long-term revenue growth,
impressive margin improvement, and good returns on capital and free cash
flow. I'd also note that management has shown itself adept at M&A
but is willing to return capital to shareholders (with a 50-year-plus
record of raising the dividend).
The problem with
good companies, particularly when their end markets are turning up, is
the valuation, and that's the case here. Using a DCF model, Nordson
needs to generate very high single-digit to low double-digit revenue
growth (with some FCF margin improvement) to generate a
high-single-digit total return. That's a high, albeit not impossible,
bar to reach, and some investors may be willing to accept a lower return
(and lower implied/required growth) given the company's solid prospects
and above-average quality.
Read more here:
Nordson And The High Cost Of Excellence
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