Saturday, August 21, 2021

Employers Holdings Leveraged To Improving Employment And Rates

 

As an underwriter of workers comp insurance for small employers, the pandemic has been particularly tough on Employers Holdings (NYSE:EIG). Lower employment levels sent demand plunging in 2020 and the situation hasn’t been helped by increased competition driving a multiyear decline in rates. Even with improved claims frequency, Employers is earning a lot less now than they used to before the pandemic.

I do believe Employers has seen the worst, but I don’t necessarily expect a V-shaped recovery given competition in the market and challenges to hiring in Employers’ core addressed markets. Longer term, though, I do think the company can get back to double-digit ROE and mid-single-digit long-term core growth, supporting a fair value in the mid-$40’s that is relatively attractive compared to today’s price.

 

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Employers Holdings Leveraged To Improving Employment And Rates

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