Sunday, March 28, 2021

Manitex Past The Worst And Now Leveraged To Equipment Recovery

Heavy equipment stocks have been doing pretty well since the election, and Manitex (MNTX) has gone along for the ride. Up about 75% since my last article, Manitex’s performance slots in pretty well between a handful of better-performing names like CNH (CNHI) and Deere (DE) and worse-performing names like Caterpillar (CAT), Oshkosh (OSK), and Palfinger (OTCPK:PLFRY), while more or less matching Manitou.

I do expect a healthy recovery in 2021 despite a lackluster non-resi construction environment, as fleet operators (including rental companies) emerge from their own capex lockdowns to refresh their fleets. Beyond that, a meaningful infrastructure bill could provide a bigger boost to demand later in 2021 and into 2022, and Manitex still has the company-specific driver of leveraging its knuckle-boom crane business (PM Group) and driving more sales of this under-penetrated (in the U.S.) equipment category.

After the big move in the shares, I would say the stock is more fairly-valued now than definitively cheap, and outsized upside is now tied more to an even stronger/longer recovery cycle and better success driving growth in knuckle-boom cranes – both of which are plausible.


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Manitex Past The Worst And Now Leveraged To Equipment Recovery

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