Monday, March 29, 2021

Ternium Seeing End-Market Recoveries And Reaping The Benefits Of Higher Steel Prices

The boom goes on in steel prices.

Mexico’s Ternium (NYSE:TX) is not going to see quite the same price leverage as U.S. steelmakers like Nucor (NYSE:NUE) or Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD), but global prices have also been quite a bit stronger in 2021 so far than initially expected. That’s going to drive robust revenue for most of the year, as well as even better operating leverage and cash flow generation than previously expected.

The biggest risk I see with Ternium today is that high steel prices start destroying demand, just as industrial markets in Mexico, Argentina, and other South American markets start to recover. There is also some uncertainty on capex/capital allocation beyond this year, with management clearly interested in growing the business to capture expanded opportunities. Even with that factored in, though, the shares continue to look undervalued.

 

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Ternium Seeing End-Market Recoveries And Reaping The Benefits Of Higher Steel Prices

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