Thursday, February 10, 2011

Investopedia: ArcelorMittal And The Steel Catch-Up Trade

The financial news often seems to talk about commodities as though they all trade together. The reality, though, is altogether different. While it is true that producers of copper, aluminum, and steel all depend to some extent on a healthy global economy, there can be a great deal of inconsistency between the individual commodities. So while iron giant Vale (Nasdaq: VALE) and aluminum king Alcoa (NYSE:AA) have done well over the past year, Freeport McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) has far surpassed them while ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT) has been quite the laggard. 

Maybe that begins to change in 2011, and maybe investors should freshen up their due diligence on the largest player in the steel business.

A Solid End to a Tough Year
Although 2010 was hardly a disaster for ArcelorMittal or the steel industry as a whole, the memory of the boom years of 2007 and 2008 are still fresh in many people's minds. With certain commodities like copper hitting all-time highs recently, patience has been a little harder to come by in a steel sector still suffering from a sluggish economic recovery in North America and Western Europe. (For more, see Steel Cycle Looks Good.)

Still, ArcelorMittal ended the year on a solid note. Revenue rose 19% from the year-ago level (and 5% sequentially) and topped $20 billion. EBITDA was down 14% from the third quarter, but still higher than the consensus expectation and this quarter's number was arguably cleaner (that is, there were fewer non-operating items influencing the number).


To continue, please click:
http://stocks.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/2011/ArcelorMittal-And-The-Steel-Catch-Up-Trade-MT-VALE-AA-FCX-PKX0210.aspx

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