Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Investopedia: Running Like A Deere

When crop prices are high, there is a go-to line-up of stocks for theme investors to play. Fertilizer names like Potash (NYSE:POT) and Mosiac (NYSE:MOS) usually catch a bid, as do seed companies like Syngenta (NYSE:SYT). And then there are the machinery companies - stocks like AGCO (Nasdaq:AGCO), CNH Global (NYSE:CNH) and the biggest of them all, Deere (NYSE:DE). Whether the logic always works out as expected (high crop prices produce more cash for farmers who can buy new equipment) or not, these have been bullish times for crops and bullish times for Deere's stock. 

The Quarter That Was
Whether the byproduct of high crop prices, better credit access, more optimism among farmers, or some combination, Deere delivered another strong quarter. Revenue rose 30% this period to over $5.5 billion, with agriculture (and turf) up 21% and construction (and forestry) up 81% from a low base. Although that was a solid jump in sales, it was nevertheless below the average analyst estimate of $5.67 billion.

Like most heavy machinery manufacturers, Deere's business is more profitable when the factories have solid throughput. To that end, higher revenue helped enable improved gross margin (up about 150 basis points from last year). Deere's management also deserves praise for holding the line on operating expenses, as operating income more than doubled and the operating margin expanded by more the four points. As a result, though Deere came up short on revenue the company handily surpassed the average EPS estimate. (For more, see 4 Things to Know About Earnings Season.)


Please click below for the full piece:
http://stocks.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/2011/Running-Like-A-Deere-DE-POT-MOS-CNH-AGCO-KUB-TWI0222.aspx

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