Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Seeking Alpha: If High Steel Prices Stick, U.S. Steel Has A Lot Further To Go

All you really need to know about whether U.S. Steel (X) stock will outperform this year is how strong steel prices will be. Simple, right? If only. Although steel prices have been heading higher in recent weeks and commentary from top mini-mills Nucor (NUE) and Steel Dynamics (STLD) has been constructive, there more than a few worries about the health of key markets like autos, construction, and energy.

A Tough Q4, But Who Cares?
By and large U.S. Steel had a disappointing quarter. Sales climbed 12% from last year, but dropped 5% from the third quarter. Shipment volume wasn't bad (especially in flat roll), but pricing was a little disappointing outside of the flat roll business. Worse, costs were quite a bit higher despite improved utilization and overall segment operating profit wasn't a profit at all. At the bottom line, U.S. Steel missed analyst expectations by a fairly significant amount.

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If High Steel Prices Stick, U.S. Steel Has A Lot Further To Go

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