Seagate - Yes, It's Still a Cyclical Business
As the hard drive company least damaged by the Thai floods, Seagate has been on something of a roll with its operations. That roll has now noticeably slowed. Whereas the company had once guided to "at least $5 billion" in revenue and gross margin of 34.5%, management warned that actual revenue for the quarter will be more on the order of $4.5 billion, while gross margin will be closer to 33.6%. If there's good news here, it's that analysts were already getting more skeptical and cautious, and had been lowering their numbers. Consequently, the announced miss adds up to less than 10% on the top line and about one point on the gross margin line.
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