It's been an interesting few months for packaged food companies. Volume
trends have looked softer than expected as consumers continue to feel a
pinch, but input costs have also eased up. Most significant, though, was
the acquisition of Heinz (NYSE:HNZ) by Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A,BRK-B) and 3G and the near-immediate upward revaluation of the sector.
Against that backdrop, ConAgra (NYSE:CAG)
continues to be a “yes, but...” company. As in, “yes, the RalCorp deal
helps, but the company has to execute on the integration” or “yes, input
costs are lower, but the company is having to spend on
marketing/promotion to prop up weak volume”. While I liked ConAgra as an
undervalued play in the sector back in December, I don't feel as
strongly about it today given the significant move in the sector and
this stock in particular.
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