Cheap stocks aren't always (or even necessarily "often") the best
performers, and vice versa. I think that's worth remembering when
looking at Post Holdings (POST).
Whether looking at EV/EBITDA, EV/revenue, ROE/PBV, or a discounted cash
flow model, Post just doesn't seem very cheap and the stock has
definitely been a strong performer in a sector that has weakened some in
recent months.
I won't be surprised, though, if Post continues to stay fairly popular with the Street. Free of Ralcorp (now part of ConAgra (CAG)),
Post is emerging from a prolonged period of benign neglect and
management has already shown its willingness to leverage the balance
sheet to grow and diversify the business. Competition from Kellogg (K), General Mills (GIS),
and ConAgra, not to mention private labels, should not be ignored, but I
believe that Post is likely to post growth rates on the upper end of
the sector range, and I would expect that the Street will show its usual
price insensitivity in the pursuit of that growth.
Please follow this link for more:
Not Exactly Cheap, Post Holdings Still Has Some Appeal
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