Tuesday, April 8, 2014

Seeking Alpha: A Sharp Pullback In Celldex Could Be A Window Of Opportunity

To buy when others seemingly can't sell fast enough takes a lot of guts (and other less family-friendly attributes), but it can be one of the best ways to exploit Wall Street shortsightedness. Small-cap oncology immunotherapy biotech Celldex (CLDX) has gotten swept up in this biotech bubble-popping, even though the data from the company has generally been positive and supportive of the idea that this company has some promising high-potential drugs.

On a risk-adjusted basis, I calculate a fair value of $29 per share for Celldex, suggesting significant upside from today's level. Readers have to consider two key risks here. First, there is the ever-present biotech risk that Celldex's drugs will fail in advanced clinical studies and never make it to market. Second, there is a growing risk that investors are cycling out of biotech and may no longer be willing to use the same long-term revenue multiples and discount rates. A true rout in the biotech space could take these shares down another 50% without any bad news from the company, but investors who can stomach that risk as the price of admission to a potential winner should look further into this story.

Read the full article at Seeking Alpha:
A Sharp Pullback In Celldex Could Be A Window Of Opportunity

No comments: