Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Seeking Alpha: At IPG Photonics, Strong Performance Backs Aggressive Expectations

In contrast to Rofin-Sinar (NASDAQ:RSTI), IPG Photonics (NASDAQ:IPGP) continues to perform very well on the back of growing adoption of fiber lasers and strong operating efficiency. This has been may favorite laser name for a while now, and the 35% move in the stock price since my last piece has been nice to see (and well above the results from Rofin-Sinar, Coherent (NASDAQ:COHR), and Newport (NASDAQ:NEWP)).

Although Rofin-Sinar has looked a little stronger of late in its fiber laser efforts, it is still well behind IPG Photonics and that is going to be a difficult gap to fill. Meanwhile, while Rofin-Sinar tries to get to where IPG Photonics already is, the latter is moving on with newer offerings like green lasers, ultrafast lasers, UV lasers, and products targeted at large applications like spot welding and paint stripping. The only major downside to the IPG Photonics story that I see today is the high level of expectations - today's price already seems to anticipate a 10-year run of greater than 10% revenue growth and FCF margin expansion into the mid-20%'s. While I think the company can do that, I'm not sure it can do so much better that there's a lot of upside at today's price.

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At IPG Photonics, Strong Performance Backs Aggressive Expectations

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