When I last wrote about Brazilian food company BRF (NYSE:BRFS),
I was concerned about the likelihood that the company's financial
results were entering a rough period - squeezed between Brazil's weak
domestic market, challenges in many export markets and spiking input
prices. At the same time, BRF is seeing more competition at home and
trying to navigate a tricky dual-brand strategy that could lead to
market share and revenue pressures.
Those concerns
have proven valid, but I'm surprised at the extent to which the market
has been willing to look past it and toward the significant long-term
opportunity BRF offers - I thought the shares were undervalued below $17
back in May, but I didn't expect a 24% move in the ADRs, nor the 13%
move in the underlying local shares. Perhaps some of this is due to
buyout rumors, particularly as Marfrig and JBS (OTCQX:JBSAY) haven't been great performers.
In
any case, I still like BRF and this is still a stock that I hope to own
for a long time. With a fair value in the $18-$19 range, but
significant growth opportunities yet to be tapped, I think the shares
hold some appeal but investors concerned about the risks and enhanced
volatility of a Brazilian company may want a bigger discount before
taking the plunge.
Read more here:
For BRF, There's Opportunity Amid The Adversity
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