Wabtec (NYSE:WAB)
runs a business model that has long relied on serial M&A and that
is not going to change. What has changed, though, is that the company's
key North American freight rail market has weakened considerably and is
likely to stay in the doldrums for some time. That puts even more
pressure on management to execute on the opportunities available in
growing the transit business, growing its freight business outside North
America, and continuing to execute on margins.
Not
many businesses generate steady double-digit ROIC, and for all of the
(valid) concerns about Wabtec's reliance on M&A, I think that detail
should not be ignored. What's more, even amid a sharp downturn in its
freight business, margins have remained quite solid. If management can
execute on long-term opportunities in transit and freight, particularly
overseas, there is enough potential business out there to support a
higher fair value for the stock.
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Weak Freight And Iffy Organic Growth Remain Issues For Wabtec
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