Dover (DOV)
reported a good fourth quarter, with a very strong top-line organic
growth figure and improved margins across the business. Guidance for
2018 was also pretty positive, and Dover will be moving forward with the
spin-off of its energy business ("Wellsite") and a sizable share
buyback. All of that is welcome, but it doesn't really mitigate a pretty
mediocre long-term track record of value creation.
Perhaps
the involvement of Third Point as an investor will spur more changes.
Dover is certainly not "un-fixable", but the company does need to better
manage the assets it has and come up with a better unified vision for
where its expertise and focus will be in the future. Although I'm
clearly not a huge fan of management, and the shares aren't cheap, the
return expectations here seem more reasonable than for many other
multi-industrials, so less valuation-conscious investors may still find
some upside.
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Dover's Ability To Create Long-Term Value Still An Open Question
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