Medpace (MEDP)
had some challenges in its first year as a publicly-traded company, as
this full-service contract research organization (or CRO) saw revenue
growth and margins weaken through 2017. Compounding those issues is a
greater effort on the part of Medpace's larger rivals to target its core
business - smaller biotechs that have historically been ill-served by
the larger players in the CRO market.
Valuation is
an interesting dilemma right now. It would seem that Medpace could
generate high-single-digit to low-double-digit annual returns to
shareholders even if it can't reaccelerate growth beyond peer/industry
norms and has to absorb some additional margin pressure. While I don't
expect it to be a quick (or certain) process, if management were to
succeed with its efforts to reignite revenue growth there would be
enough incremental return to make this a more interesting idea.
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Medpace Holdings Facing Some Challenges To A Model That Has Worked Well
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