Friday, January 24, 2020

Sluggish Loan Growth, Spread Pressure, And Limited Op Leverage Making It Hard For Zions To Get Ahead

When I wrote about Zions Bancorpation (ZION) after third quarter earnings, I wrote that Zions was a quality bank that was mismatched the current phase of the cycle and not really cheap enough for a “pay you to wait” play. The shares are down a bit since then, underperforming broader banking indices, but that came mostly with the negative reaction to earnings (which included at least two downgrades).

Although Zions’ valuation is not demanding, I think investors are likely looking at at least three, and maybe four or five, quarters of negative year-over-year pre-provision comps and even management thinks that positive operating leverage might be out of reach in 2020. Valuation and a high-quality (if asset-sensitive) business keep this on the watch list, but I need a bigger discount to fair value or more confidence on near-term earnings momentum to step up.

Follow this link for more:
Sluggish Loan Growth, Spread Pressure, And Limited Op Leverage Making It Hard For Zions To Get Ahead

No comments: