Showing posts with label GNMA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GNMA. Show all posts

Thursday, December 11, 2008

What to buy? Why not Ginnies?

I think you have to have some serious stones to buy equities in a big way right now ... so what does that leave?

How about various GNMA funds? You can get a decent yield and decent security. Fidelity (FGMNX) and Vanguard (VFIIX) both have solid offerings here.

Corporate bonds are pretty interesting too, but you've got to strap in for some serious pain. Corps have gotten crushed already ... and yet, the defaults aren't that bad yet. Sure, people will say "oh, the prices are already discounting the defaults that are to come", but are they really?

I don't think so ... I think there's another leg down coming when those defaults start popping up. So, I agree that corps are cheap now ... but you've got to have a real threshold for pain to buy now.

At least with Ginnies, what's the downside? If the government backing behind Ginnies goes south, let's be honest -- NONE of us will be worrying about our porfolios. A lot of the short-term Treasuries are yielding bupkis, so what else is there?

Maybe some international govt bonds? UK and Japan and the like ...
Something worth pondering.


(and I'm also interested in commodity-related income-producing assets like MLPs, but that's for another time).