Seeking Alpha: XPO Logistics' $7 Billion Revenue Ambition

It's almost surprising that XPO Logistics (XPO) hasn't made another major acquisition since I last wrote about the company in mid-January. I am of course being facetious, but not by much, as XPO management has shown an extreme willingness to identify, negotiate, and close deals that bring in new revenue and business opportunities to this fast-growing third-party logistics provider.

The investment thesis here still comes down to belief. If you believe that management will hit its goal of $7.5 billion in revenue and $425 million in EBITDA in 2017, these shares look quite cheap today, but ample risks remain regarding the company's ability to integrate acquisitions, manage the balance sheet, and drive those mid-single digit EBITDA margins. I don't have complete confidence that management will get there, but "close" is still good enough to make this a stock worth considering.

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XPO Logistics' $7 Billion Revenue Ambition

Seeking Alpha: XPO Logistics Sticking To An Aggressive Growth Plan

Every time I've written about XPO Logistics (XPO), I've heard from readers who simply do not believe that the company will succeed in its goal of buying or building its way into a leading spot in third-party logistics by 2016. Yet, the company continues to post strong organic growth and negotiate multiple M&A transactions, the latest being the acquisition of Pacer International (PACR).

Whether it's the bull market in general or a buy-in from institutional investors, the shares of XPO Logistics had a good 2013 and sit just below a 52-week high. Even with that strong performance, they don't appear to me to be unreasonably valued today.

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XPO Logistics Sticking To An Aggressive Growth Plan