Showing posts with label PolyOne. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PolyOne. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 7, 2016

A Tough Macro Environment Is Masking Some Improvement At PolyOne

It has been a while since I've written on PolyOne (NYSE:POL), and I wasn't all that fond of the valuation on this specialty chemical company back in that last article in 2013. Since then, the share's performance has been about half that of the S&P 500, though somewhat less disappointing relative to other chemical companies like Schulman (NASDAQ:SHLM), Clariant (OTCPK:CLZNY), and Westlake (NYSE:WLK).

Performance has been hurt not only by execution issues in the acquired Spartech business, but also a weakening macro environment, and this most recent quarter was the first in over two years to show year-on-year revenue down (though organic growth was still negative absent an adjustment for energy-based pricing).

The investment prospects for PolyOne are more interesting to me now. I like specialty chemical companies, and I think PolyOne has a lot going for it with an array of value-adding capabilities. I also like that management has been shoring up some weaknesses and continuing to push the company in the direction of "value over volume" and toward a model that could conceivably produce double-digit ROICs on a more consistent basis.

Valuation isn't a slam-dunk, but I've learned that it is worth paying attention when quality specialty chemical companies look reasonably priced on a discounted cash flow basis, as the market is often willing to pay premiums to that value in healthier economic times.

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A Tough Macro Environment Is Masking Some Improvement At PolyOne

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Seeking Alpha: PolyOne Has A Great Business, But Is It A Great Stock?

With the major market indices having performed as they have this year, it's not exactly surprising that there are numerous situations where you see a good or great business with a stock up 40%, 50%, or 60%-plus over the past year. Such is this case with PolyOne (POL), as investors have bid up the shares of this chemical company not only on expectations of improving construction and transportation markets, but also its clear commitment to transitioning to a higher-margin specialty chemical model.

Valuation admittedly always comes down to elements of guesswork and judgment, and arguments over the "right" multiples or discount rate for PolyOne can lead to pretty significant swings in estimated fair value today. Even so, it's hard for me to still call PolyOne a great stock for new investors at this level, as a lot of the company's plans and intentions seem to be already incorporated into expectations.

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PolyOne Has A Great Business, But Is It A Great Stock?