2010 - A Year Of Only Modest Recovery In Steel

As much as people want to write about the "new economy" and the new rules of economic development, the fact remains that steel is a key component. When economies are strong, there is higher demand for steel in non-residential construction, automobiles and all manner of industrial and consumer goods. To that point, 2010 was a challenging year for steel companies and steel stocks as soft demand capped not only shipment volume but restrained companies from fully pushing on the impact of higher input prices. 

A Rare Laggard In Materials
In almost every other respect, 2010 was a great year for materials companies. While the steel sector still did relatively well (basically tracking the S&P 500), much of that came from a late rally after third quarter earnings and rising optimism about higher prices in 2011. Relative to gold, copper, coal and other industrial metals, steel was a laggard for the year as a whole.

It made relatively little difference whether a company was an integrated global steel producer or a mini-mill. World-leaders like Korea's POSCO (NYSE:PKX) and Europe's ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT) both saw their stocks decline by double-digit percentages, while U.S. mini-mill operators Nucor (NYSE:NUE) and Steel Dynamics (Nasdaq:STLD) did a fair bit better on a relative basis. American integrated producers U.S. Steel (NYSE:X) and AK Steel (NYSE:AKS) had very mixed performance, as AK Steel's stock fared quite poorly and U.S. Steel did relatively well. (For more, see Is Now The Time To Invest In Steel?.)


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http://stocks.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/2010/2010-A-Year-Of-Only-Modest-Recovery-In-Steel-STLD-NUE-MT-X-AKS1224.aspx

Commercial Metals - A Tough Market May Be Getting Better

Although the sector has had a rough 2010, the stocks of many players have been doing a lot better of late, as investors take a more encouraging view of steel prices and demand in 2011. As Commercial Metals (NYSE:CMC) earnings reflect, though, there are still a lot of pressures in the industry and a great 2011 is no guarantee. 

Fiscal First Quarter Results - Some Good, Some Bad
In many respects, CMC's earnings this quarter are a microcosm of the industry; some good and some bad, with reasons for cautious optimism. On a simple top line basis, for instance, revenue was up 27% from last year as units like recycling and American mini-mills did well (each up about 41%) and no units had year-on-year declines. Within that top line number, the company saw total mill tons shipped increase 9%, with fabrication tons shipped up a similar 8%. Selling prices were also strong, with domestic prices up almost 20% and foreign mill prices up more than 30%.

Profitability also improved from the year-ago level. Although scrap costs were quite a bit higher (up 17% domestically and 23% overseas), per-ton operating profits still grew almost 22% and 45% at home and abroad, respectively. Interestingly, the purchase prices for scrap (as opposed to the cost of scrap used) were even higher, and that could be an issue. Still, the company reversed a year-ago operating loss and was profitable on an as-reported basis. 


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http://stocks.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/2010/Commercial-Metals--A-Tough-Market-May-Be-Getting-Better-CMC-STLD-NUE-X-MT-VALE-TCK1223.aspx

A Rare Opportunity In Steel Dynamics (STLD)

Along with Peabody (which I also wrote on recently), this is one of the few companies where I actually believe what management tells me and trust them to run the business.

Sadly, an increasingly novel concept...

http://community.investopedia.com/news/IA/2008/A-Rare-Opportunity-In-Steel-Dynamics-STLD1022.aspx