Is RIMM Losing The War?

Research In Motion (Nasdaq:RIMM) would not be the first company to largely invent a market, only to see latecomers take the business away from them. Although it is absolutely fair to debate whether RIMM's Blackberry "invented" the market that Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL), Google (Nasdaq:GOOG) and Motorola (NYSE:MOT) are profitably exploiting now, the more relevant question is whether RIMM can withstand the battles in the market and remain a top competitor. After all, Nokia (NYSE:NOK) was seen as a leader once, too. 

A Bright Quarter With A Dark Shadow
In many respects RIMM delivered a fine quarter. Revenue rose 40% from last year (and 19% sequentially) to almost $5.5 billion, with handset revenue and shipments increasing by similar degrees. Given that RIMM surpassed the average estimate and was close to the high end of the range, that would normally be good news. On the other hand, U.S. revenue dropped 16% sequentially despite an aggressive promotion of Torch at AT&T (NYSE:T) and channel inventory ticked up - while either of these events on their own may be no problem, the combination is a valid reason for concern.

Nevertheless, profitability at RIMM is still good. Gross margin improved almost a full point from last year (though declined more than that sequentially), and operating margin was modestly better. All in all, operating income rose 42% from last year (and 16% from last quarter), while net profits rose 45%. RIMM also did well from a cash perspective, adding about $450 million in cash to the balance sheet. 


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