While I understand that Wall Street is a discounting mechanism that
looks forward more often than backward, I have a hard time reconciling
the confidence that investors have shown in Johnson Controls (JCI) over the past three months with the likely trajectory of performance.
Johnson
Controls said many of the right things at its recent analyst day,
addressing issues like margin challenges in the automotive and building
systems businesses and pointing to a promising future in batteries, but
it seems like analysts are much too willing to reward the company with
unprecedented operating improvements. A slight beat for the fiscal first
quarter is certainly better than another miss, but back-loaded guidance
and iffy auto margins leave me hanging on to some skepticism.
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Faith In Johnson Controls May Be Running Ahead Of Facts
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