Once again I seem to have underestimated how Wall Street's love of a
good story can overpower and outweigh the likely long-term economic
returns from that story. In the case of Edwards Lifesciences (EW),
I have never doubted that transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR)
(also called "... valve implantation" or TAVI) was going to be
successful, nor that Edwards' Sapien would be a major player.
What
I doubted was whether Wall Street would keep pumping up the valuation
it was willing to pay. With Edwards being one of the relatively few
double-digit organic growth stories in med-tech, the stock is up about
30% since my last skeptical piece - not all that much better than other med-tech names like Medtronic (MDT) or Boston Scientific (BSX)
in what has been a strong med-tech market, but 30% is 30%. Even still,
while I have no problem forecasting double-digit free cash flow growth
for Edwards, I still don't see a compelling valuation here.
Please read the full article here:
TAVR Is Real (And Maybe Spectacular), But Edwards Lifesciences Isn't A Bargain
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