Friday, August 22, 2014

Seeking Alpha: A New Rayonier, But The Same Old Problem

For the major publicly-traded timberland owners - a list that includes Rayonier (NYSE:RYN), Plum Creek (NYSE:PCL), Weyerhaeuser (NYSE:WY), Pope Resources (NASDAQ:POPE), and Potlatch (NASDAQ:PCH) - the frustrating wait for a housing-led recovery goes on. Although Rayonier does have a relative advantage to Plum Creek with its larger (as a percentage) weighting to the Pacific Northwest and its New Zealand joint venture, not to mention the absence of wood products operations, the company can do relatively little in the face of persistent weakness in stumpage prices and sluggish demand for HBU real estate. While I like Plum Creek as a play on an eventual recovery in timberland value, and Weyerhaeuser for its weighting to more valuable Pacific Northwest acreage and value-added wood products, the new post-spin off Rayonier just doesn't look like much of an opportunity at today's prices.

Follow this link to the full article:
A New Rayonier, But The Same Old Problem

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