Potential is a tricky thing. There's no question that
significant growth potential can fuel the valuation on software stocks
like Qualys (NASDAQ:QLYS),
but failure to execute on that potential can bring about sharp
corrections and high levels of volatility. Qualys has had its challenges
on the execution front over the years, but the roughly 35% increase in
the share price over the last year leads me to think that investors are
back to focusing on the potential, as the company looks to leverage
sizable ongoing cross-selling opportunities, new product launches, and
an improved go-to-market strategy.
While the
opportunity is there, at least in terms of dollar volume of addressable
market, I think a 5x EV/revenue multiple on 2017 is an ample reflection
of that opportunity, particularly for a company that has had something
less than a history of seamless execution. While the company's SaaS
approach has its advantages and the Internet of Things (or IoT) is a
credible opportunity, the valuation is a challenge for a company that I
don't see as bringing game-changing technology into the security space.
Read more here:
Qualys Has To Execute Better To Live Up To Its Multiple
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