Shareholders of Turkcell's (NYSE:TKC)
ADRs might understandably feel as though they've been cursed. Even when
the company is executing very well on its strategy and seeing an
exceptional improvement in results, the adverse move in the Turkish lira
chews up most of the benefit. Since my last piece
on Turkcell around a year ago, revenue expectations for FY 2017 have
risen around 13%, and the local shares are up better 20% … and the ADRs
are up less than 10%. Strong dividend payments this year sweeten the pot
a bit, but Turkcell remains the sort of stock where you feel like you
have to cover your eyes and peek between your fingers whenever there's
news.
While I'm admittedly being a little
flippant about this situation, I do believe Turkcell's strong execution
over the past year deserves respect. Likewise, I think the recent trend
in performance lends a great deal more credibility to management's
long-term strategic view of the company. There is still a lingering
shareholder dispute to resolve and ample uncertainty about Turkcell's
M&A plays (not to mention plenty of uncertainty about Turkey
itself), but the shares look around 20% undervalued today, and that's
enough to keep me interested.
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A Marked Improvement At Turkcell Restores Some Confidence
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