Even the best-run companies are still subject to the
laws of gravity, and valuations got pretty high among the top-tier
multi-industrials early this year. Illinois Tool Works (ITW)
was one of the more expensive names then, but I’m still surprised that
the subsequent correction has seen it underperform some industrial peers
like Ingersoll-Rand (IR) and Dover (DOV).
Looking
ahead, 2018 is likely to be a year where ITW’s ability to drive organic
growth and ongoing margin leverage is going to get tested a little more
strenuously. I do have great respect for the quality of ITW’s
operations, and its options to grow through M&A, but I do have some
concerns that sell-side margin expectations are aggressive. Valuation
being what it is, I would lean more toward names like Honeywell (HON) and Eaton (ETN),
but if the shares were to fall into the $130s without a significant
deterioration in the economic environment, I’d take another look.
Read more here:
Illinois Tool Works's Ability To Drive Growth And Margin Leverage Getting Tested
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