Friday, May 8, 2020

Even After A Post-Panic Rebound, Aptiv Can Offer Some Upside

Auto parts supplier Aptiv (APTV) has already reclaimed about half the ground it lost during the March panic selling, but there could still be some worthwhile upside for shareholders to consider. Aptiv isn’t my favorite name (due largely to valuation), but I can’t argue with the company’s strong leverage to vehicle electrification and advanced safety, as well as its relative low level of business at risk from the internal combustion engine (or ICE) to hybrid/EV transition.

I’ve tweaked my model a little, mostly in the direction of boosting long-term revenue potential (content growth) and trimming back margin/FCF margin leverage (due to the competitive nature of the markets). I still expect Aptiv to generate around mid-single-digit sales growth over the next decade, though, with low double-digit FCF growth, and that supports a high single-digit long-term return now.

Read more here:
Even After A Post-Panic Rebound, Aptiv Can Offer Some Upside

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