I like the strategy Valley National is following now, and I think the Bank Leumi deal may be a better long-term opportunity for the company than is reflected in the share price, as I think a larger private banking operation (somewhat similar to First Republic (FRC)) and a larger national specialty commercial lending franchise (somewhat similar to First Citizens (FCNCA)) can both create value. Still, I’m worried about the short-term profit outlook given the bank’s need to raise higher-cost deposits and the Street’s penchant for short-term thinking. Valuation is interesting at today’s level but there are a lot of banks trading at “interesting” valuations, and sentiment remains a concern for me.
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